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Guilherme Do Livramento Demos

Personal Details

First Name:Guilherme
Middle Name:Do Livramento
Last Name:Demos
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pde1153
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
http://er.ethz.ch

Affiliation

Department of Management, Technology and Economics (D-MTEC)
Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETHZ)

Zürich, Switzerland
http://www.mtec.ethz.ch/
RePEc:edi:dmethch (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Jan-Christian Gerlach & Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Dissection of Bitcoin's Multiscale Bubble History from January 2012 to February 2018," Papers 1804.06261, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
  2. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  3. Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Lagrange regularisation approach to compare nested data sets and determine objectively financial bubbles' inceptions," Papers 1707.07162, arXiv.org.
  4. Vladimir Filimonov & Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2016. "Modified Profile Likelihood Inference and Interval Forecast of the Burst of Financial Bubbles," Papers 1602.08258, arXiv.org.
  5. Didier Sornette & Guilherme Demos & Qun Zhang & Peter Cauwels & Vladimir Filimonov & Qunzhi Zhang, 2015. "Real-Time Prediction and Post-Mortem Analysis of the Shanghai 2015 Stock Market Bubble and Crash," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-31, Swiss Finance Institute.
  6. Demos, Guilherme & Da Silva, Sergio & Matsushita, Raul, 2015. "Some Statistical Properties of the Mini Flash Crashes," MPRA Paper 65473, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Guilherme DEMOS & Qunzhi ZHANG & Didier SORNETTE, 2015. "Birth or Burst of Financial Bubbles: Which One is Easier to Diagnose?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-57, Swiss Finance Institute.

Articles

  1. V. Filimonov & G. Demos & D. Sornette, 2017. "Modified profile likelihood inference and interval forecast of the burst of financial bubbles," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(8), pages 1167-1186, August.
  2. G. Demos & D. Sornette, 2017. "Birth or burst of financial bubbles: which one is easier to diagnose?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 657-675, May.
  3. Guilherme Demos & Thomas Pires & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2015. "Portfolio Optimisation and Endogenous Rebalancing Methods," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 13(4), pages 544-570.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Jan-Christian Gerlach & Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Dissection of Bitcoin's Multiscale Bubble History from January 2012 to February 2018," Papers 1804.06261, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Fantazzini, Dean & Kolodin, Nikita, 2020. "Does the hashrate affect the bitcoin price?," MPRA Paper 103812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Yan Li & Zhicheng Wang & Hongchuan Wang & Meiyu Wu & Lingling Xie, 2021. "Identifying price bubble periods in the Bitcoin market-based on GSADF model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(5), pages 1829-1844, October.
    3. Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2021. "Cryptocurrency Market Consolidation in 2020--2021," Papers 2112.06552, arXiv.org.
    4. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Kong, Xiao-Lin & Baltas, Konstantinos & Zureigat, Qasim, 2022. "Past, present, and future of the application of machine learning in cryptocurrency research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Marian Gidea & Daniel Goldsmith & Yuri Katz & Pablo Roldan & Yonah Shmalo, 2018. "Topological recognition of critical transitions in time series of cryptocurrencies," Papers 1809.00695, arXiv.org.
    6. Ifeoma Christy Mba & Emmanuel Ikechukwu Mba & Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor & Winnie Ogochukwu Arazu, 2018. "Mean Sojourn and Mean Return Time of the Buy-hoard-sell Strategy of Bitcoin Exchange Prices," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 276-282.
    7. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
    8. Xiong, Jinwu & Liu, Qing & Zhao, Lei, 2020. "A new method to verify Bitcoin bubbles: Based on the production cost," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    9. da Cunha, C.R. & da Silva, R., 2020. "Relevant stylized facts about bitcoin: Fluctuations, first return probability, and natural phenomena," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
    10. Dean Fantazzini & Stephan Zimin, 2020. "A multivariate approach for the simultaneous modelling of market risk and credit risk for cryptocurrencies," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(1), pages 19-69, March.
    11. Rognone, Lavinia & Hyde, Stuart & Zhang, S. Sarah, 2020. "News sentiment in the cryptocurrency market: An empirical comparison with Forex," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. Bellón, Carlos & Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel, 2022. "Bubbles in Ethereum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    13. F. N. M. de Sousa Filho & J. N. Silva & M. A. Bertella & E. Brigatti, 2020. "The leverage effect and other stylized facts displayed by Bitcoin returns," Papers 2004.05870, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    14. Ludovic Tangpi & Shichun Wang, 2022. "Optimal Bubble Riding: A Mean Field Game with Varying Entry Times," Papers 2209.04001, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    15. Rebecca Westphal & Didier Sornette, 2019. "Market Impact and Performance of Arbitrageurs of Financial Bubbles in An Agent-Based Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-29, Swiss Finance Institute.
    16. Agnieszka Kuś & Agnieszka Kuś, 2023. "Photovoltaic Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange—Another Speculative Bubble or a Sign of the Times?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-21, January.
    17. Marcin Wątorek & Jarosław Kwapień & Stanisław Drożdż, 2022. "Multifractal Cross-Correlations of Bitcoin and Ether Trading Characteristics in the Post-COVID-19 Time," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, July.
    18. Hu, Junjie & Kuo, Weiyu & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    19. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Real-time prediction of Bitcoin bubble crashes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 548(C).
    20. Alexandre Bovet & Carlo Campajola & Jorge F. Lazo & Francesco Mottes & Iacopo Pozzana & Valerio Restocchi & Pietro Saggese & Nicol'o Vallarano & Tiziano Squartini & Claudio J. Tessone, 2018. "Network-based indicators of Bitcoin bubbles," Papers 1805.04460, arXiv.org.
    21. Fruehwirt, Wolfgang & Hochfilzer, Leonhard & Weydemann, Leonard & Roberts, Stephen, 2021. "Cumulation, crash, coherency: A cryptocurrency bubble wavelet analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    22. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    23. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    24. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    25. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Nikita Ramchandani & Dimitrios Kenourgios, 2021. "Diagnosis and Prediction of IIGPS’ Countries Bubble Crashes during BREXIT," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-14, April.
    26. Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender & Ersan, Oguz, 2024. "Detecting and date-stamping bubbles in fan tokens," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 98-113.
    27. Gidea, Marian & Goldsmith, Daniel & Katz, Yuri & Roldan, Pablo & Shmalo, Yonah, 2020. "Topological recognition of critical transitions in time series of cryptocurrencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 548(C).
    28. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2021 Bitcoin Bubbles and Crashes—Detection and Classification," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-21, November.
    29. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    30. Nino Antulov-Fantulin & Tian Guo & Fabrizio Lillo, 2021. "Temporal mixture ensemble models for probabilistic forecasting of intraday cryptocurrency volume," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 905-940, December.
    31. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    32. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2022. "Multifractal cross-correlations of bitcoin and ether trading characteristics in the post-COVID-19 time," Papers 2208.01445, arXiv.org.
    33. Takumi Sueshige & Didier Sornette & Hideki Takayasu & Misako Takayasu, 2019. "Classification of position management strategies at the order-book level and their influences on future market-price formation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, August.
    34. Westphal, Rebecca & Sornette, Didier, 2020. "Market impact and performance of arbitrageurs of financial bubbles in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-23.

  2. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Fang, Ming & Lin, Yizhou & Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2023. "Positive and negative price bubbles of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 456-471.
    3. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Ruiqiang Song & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2020 Global Stock Market Crash: Endogenous or Exogenous?," Papers 2101.00327, arXiv.org.
    5. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Di Tommaso, Caterina & Wang, Gang-Jin & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2024. "Interconnectedness between stock and credit markets: The role of European G-SIBs in a multilayer perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    8. Rebecca Westphal & Didier Sornette, 2019. "Market Impact and Performance of Arbitrageurs of Financial Bubbles in An Agent-Based Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-29, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Noemi Schmitt & Ivonne Schwartz & Frank Westerhoff, 2022. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: a simple agent-based computational model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1263-1282, October.
    11. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "US monetary policy and BRICS stock market bubbles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    13. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    15. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    16. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    17. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Hideyuki Takagi, 2021. "Exploring the Endogenous Nature of Meme Stocks Using the Log-Periodic Power Law Model and Confidence Indicator," Papers 2110.06190, arXiv.org.
    20. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    21. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2021 Bitcoin Bubbles and Crashes—Detection and Classification," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-21, November.
    22. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    23. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 'COVID' Crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock Market," Papers 2101.03625, arXiv.org.
    24. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    25. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    26. Westphal, Rebecca & Sornette, Didier, 2020. "Market impact and performance of arbitrageurs of financial bubbles in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-23.

  3. Vladimir Filimonov & Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2016. "Modified Profile Likelihood Inference and Interval Forecast of the Burst of Financial Bubbles," Papers 1602.08258, arXiv.org.

    Cited by:

    1. Angelos Dassios & Luting Li, 2018. "An Economic Bubble Model and Its First Passage Time," Papers 1803.08160, arXiv.org.
    2. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2021. "A study on the bursting point of Bitcoin based on the BSADF and LPPLS methods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Ruiqiang Song & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2020 Global Stock Market Crash: Endogenous or Exogenous?," Papers 2101.00327, arXiv.org.
    4. Abdallah Abu Abdallah & Mousa Mohammad Abdullah Saleh & Sadam Al-Wadi & Firas Al Rawashdeh, 2019. "Improving the Estimation Accuracy Based on Wavelet Transform," Journal of Social Sciences (COES&RJ-JSS), , vol. 8(4), pages 544-557, October.
    5. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Real-time prediction of Bitcoin bubble crashes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 548(C).
    6. Cerruti, Gianluca & Lombardini, Simone, 2022. "Financial bubbles as a recursive process lead by short-term strategies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 555-568.
    7. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    8. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    9. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    10. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 'COVID' Crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock Market," Papers 2101.03625, arXiv.org.
    11. Demos, G. & Sornette, D., 2019. "Comparing nested data sets and objectively determining financial bubbles’ inceptions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 661-675.
    12. Hanwool Jang & Yena Song & Sungbin Sohn & Kwangwon Ahn, 2018. "Real Estate Soars and Financial Crises: Recent Stories," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    14. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  4. Didier Sornette & Guilherme Demos & Qun Zhang & Peter Cauwels & Vladimir Filimonov & Qunzhi Zhang, 2015. "Real-Time Prediction and Post-Mortem Analysis of the Shanghai 2015 Stock Market Bubble and Crash," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-31, Swiss Finance Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhi, Tianhao & Li, Zhongfei & Jiang, Zhiqiang & Wei, Lijian & Sornette, Didier, 2019. "Is there a housing bubble in China?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 120-132.
    2. Jennifer Jhun & Patricia Palacios & James Owen Weatherall, 2017. "Market Crashes as Critical Phenomena? Explanation, Idealization, and Universality in Econophysics," Papers 1704.02392, arXiv.org.
    3. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2021. "A study on the bursting point of Bitcoin based on the BSADF and LPPLS methods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    5. Li Lin & Didier Sornette, 2023. "The inverse Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process for parsimonious financial price modeling," Papers 2302.11423, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    6. Li, Chong, 2017. "Log-periodic view on critical dates of the Chinese stock market bubbles," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 305-311.
    7. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    8. Guilherme DEMOS & Qunzhi ZHANG & Didier SORNETTE, 2015. "Birth or Burst of Financial Bubbles: Which One is Easier to Diagnose?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-57, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Huai-Long Shi & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Time-varying return predictability in the Chinese stock market," Papers 1611.04090, arXiv.org.
    10. Ruiqiang Song & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2020 Global Stock Market Crash: Endogenous or Exogenous?," Papers 2101.00327, arXiv.org.
    11. Pascal Frank & Markus Rudolf, 2024. "Is the Metaverse Dead? Insights from Financial Bubble Analysis," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-22, May.
    12. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Gang-Jin Wang & Askery Canabarro & Boris Podobnik & Chi Xie & H. Eugene Stanley & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Short term prediction of extreme returns based on the recurrence interval analysis," Papers 1610.08230, arXiv.org.
    14. Papastamatiou, Konstantinos & Karakasidis, Theodoros, 2022. "Bubble detection in Greek Stock Market: A DS-LPPLS model approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    15. Qun Zhang & Qunzhi Zhang & Didier Sornette, 2016. "Early Warning Signals of Financial Crises with Multi-Scale Quantile Regressions of Log-Periodic Power Law Singularities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-43, November.
    16. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Peng Yue & Qing Cai & Wanfeng Yan & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Information flow networks of Chinese stock market sectors," Papers 2004.08759, arXiv.org.
    18. Rebecca Westphal & Didier Sornette, 2019. "Market Impact and Performance of Arbitrageurs of Financial Bubbles in An Agent-Based Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-29, Swiss Finance Institute.
    19. Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Predicting Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries: The Role of Oil Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202332, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    20. Lin, Li & Guo, Xin-Yu, 2019. "Identifying fragility for the stock market: Perspective from the portfolio overlaps network," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 132-151.
    21. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    22. Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Lagrange regularisation approach to compare nested data sets and determine objectively financial bubbles' inceptions," Papers 1707.07162, arXiv.org.
    23. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Real-time prediction of Bitcoin bubble crashes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 548(C).
    24. Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "US monetary policy and BRICS stock market bubbles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    25. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    26. Ji, Hongyun & Zhang, Han, 2024. "Application of the LPPL model in the identification and measurement of structural bubbles in the Chinese stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    27. Vidal-Tomás, David & Alfarano, Simone, 2018. "An agent based early warning indicator for financial market instability," MPRA Paper 89693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    29. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    30. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    31. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    32. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in an Emerging Country: The Case of India," Working Papers 202305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Li Lin & Didier Sornette, 2018. "“Speculative Influence Network” during financial bubbles: application to Chinese stock markets," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(2), pages 385-431, July.
    34. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Nikita Ramchandani & Dimitrios Kenourgios, 2021. "Diagnosis and Prediction of IIGPS’ Countries Bubble Crashes during BREXIT," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-14, April.
    35. Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2024. "Extreme events, economic uncertainty and speculation on occurrences of price bubbles in crude oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    36. Vladimir Filimonov & Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2016. "Modified Profile Likelihood Inference and Interval Forecast of the Burst of Financial Bubbles," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-12, Swiss Finance Institute.
    37. Zhang, Yixing & Jia, Qinmin & Chen, Chen, 2021. "Risk attitude, financial literacy and household consumption: Evidence from stock market crash in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 995-1006.
    38. Kensuke Ito & Kyohei Shibano & Gento Mogi, 2022. "Bubble Prediction of Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): An Empirical Investigation," Papers 2203.12587, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    39. Zhang, Qunzhi & Sornette, Didier & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2016. "LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 126-139.
    40. Hideyuki Takagi, 2021. "Exploring the Endogenous Nature of Meme Stocks Using the Log-Periodic Power Law Model and Confidence Indicator," Papers 2110.06190, arXiv.org.
    41. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
    42. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2021 Bitcoin Bubbles and Crashes—Detection and Classification," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-21, November.
    43. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    44. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 'COVID' Crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock Market," Papers 2101.03625, arXiv.org.
    45. Demos, G. & Sornette, D., 2019. "Comparing nested data sets and objectively determining financial bubbles’ inceptions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 661-675.
    46. Li Lin & Didier Sornette, 2015. ""Speculative Influence Network" during financial bubbles: application to Chinese Stock Markets," Papers 1510.08162, arXiv.org.
    47. Adnan Safi & Xianrong Yi & Salman Wahab & Yingying Chen & Hassan Hassan, 2021. "CEO overconfidence, firm-specific factors, and systemic risk: evidence from China," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(1), pages 30-47, June.
    48. Zhao, Shangmei & Chen, Xinyi & Zhang, Junhuan, 2019. "The systemic risk of China’s stock market during the crashes in 2008 and 2015," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 161-177.
    49. Nora CHIRIȚĂ & Ionuț NICA, 2020. "An approach to the use of cryptocurrencies in Romania using data mining technique," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(622), S), pages 5-20, Spring.
    50. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Volatility and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles," Working Papers 202310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Westphal, Rebecca & Sornette, Didier, 2020. "Market impact and performance of arbitrageurs of financial bubbles in an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-23.

  5. Demos, Guilherme & Da Silva, Sergio & Matsushita, Raul, 2015. "Some Statistical Properties of the Mini Flash Crashes," MPRA Paper 65473, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Zachary S Levine & Scott A Hale & Luciano Floridi, 2017. "The October 2014 United States Treasury bond flash crash and the contributory effect of mini flash crashes," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(11), pages 1-14, November.

  6. Guilherme DEMOS & Qunzhi ZHANG & Didier SORNETTE, 2015. "Birth or Burst of Financial Bubbles: Which One is Easier to Diagnose?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-57, Swiss Finance Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruiqiang Song & Min Shu & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 2020 Global Stock Market Crash: Endogenous or Exogenous?," Papers 2101.00327, arXiv.org.
    2. Riza Demirer & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen, 2023. "Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratio and the Predictability of Bubbles in Financial Markets," Working Papers 202317, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Papastamatiou, Konstantinos & Karakasidis, Theodoros, 2022. "Bubble detection in Greek Stock Market: A DS-LPPLS model approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    4. Simon Gluzman, 2023. "Market Crashes and Time-Translation Invariance," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-27, March.
    5. Guilherme Demos & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Lagrange regularisation approach to compare nested data sets and determine objectively financial bubbles' inceptions," Papers 1707.07162, arXiv.org.
    6. Ji, Hongyun & Zhang, Han, 2024. "Application of the LPPL model in the identification and measurement of structural bubbles in the Chinese stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Song, Ruiqiang & Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2022. "The 2020 global stock market crash: Endogenous or exogenous?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    8. Shu, Min & Zhu, Wei, 2020. "Detection of Chinese stock market bubbles with LPPLS confidence indicator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    9. Demirer, Riza & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua, 2024. "Gold, platinum and the predictability of bubbles in global stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Shu, Min & Song, Ruiqiang & Zhu, Wei, 2021. "The ‘COVID’ crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. Jerome L Kreuser & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Super-Exponential RE Bubble Model with Efficient Crashes," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-33, Swiss Finance Institute.
    12. Min Shu & Ruiqiang Song & Wei Zhu, 2021. "The 'COVID' Crash of the 2020 U.S. Stock Market," Papers 2101.03625, arXiv.org.
    13. Demos, G. & Sornette, D., 2019. "Comparing nested data sets and objectively determining financial bubbles’ inceptions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 661-675.
    14. Zhou, Wei & Huang, Yang & Chen, Jin, 2018. "The bubble and anti-bubble risk resistance analysis on the metal futures in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 947-957.
    15. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. Riza Demirer & Guilherme Demos & Rangan Gupta & Didier Sornette, 2017. "On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-scale Indicators," Working Papers 201752, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

Articles

  1. V. Filimonov & G. Demos & D. Sornette, 2017. "Modified profile likelihood inference and interval forecast of the burst of financial bubbles," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(8), pages 1167-1186, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. G. Demos & D. Sornette, 2017. "Birth or burst of financial bubbles: which one is easier to diagnose?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 657-675, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

More information

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 8 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (4) 2015-07-11 2016-07-30 2017-07-16 2018-04-30
  2. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (2) 2016-07-30 2016-07-30
  3. NEP-HME: Heterodox Microeconomics (2) 2016-07-30 2016-07-30
  4. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2016-07-30
  5. NEP-CNA: China (1) 2016-07-30
  6. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2016-03-10
  7. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 2016-03-10
  8. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2018-04-30

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