IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/b/sea/rstudy/rp77.html
   My bibliography  Save this book

Investment in The SEACEN Countries in The Post-Crisis Era: Issues and Challenges

Author

Listed:
  • Choon-Seng Lim
  • Vincent
  • Min B. Shrestha

Abstract

Since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, some SEACEN countries have been unable to achieve pre-crisis levels of investments. Many reasons were cited by the literature and these include a shift in investors¡¯ perceptions, weaker exchange rates which make prices of imported investment goods more expensive, overinvestment in various sectors of the economy, unsettled political and security conditions, weak financial systems and governance systems, implicit state guarantees and the ¡®hollowing out¡¯ effect where excessive outward foreign investment has reduced domestic investment. This paper notes that the region has successfully implemented various policies related to investment such as liberalisation of the investment sectors, the promotion of the competitive sector, direct involvement of the government and privatisation to encourage investment. The study also highlights the importance of research and the infusion of capital and technology in promoting new investment. From a macro perspective, the study suggests that central banks can also play an important role in promoting investment. Marco economic factors such as real interest rates, the availability of domestic credit, exchange rate volatility are important determinants of investment. This implies that given the right economic fundamentals, to stimulate investment, central banks should ceteris paribus, adopt an expansionary monetary stance while heeding the inflation rate. The study also suggests the importance of the banking sector in the promotion of investment. As the financial sectors of the SEACEN countries are already liberalised, pro-active financial supervision can play an important role in ensuring financial stability in order to facilitate improved access to credit. It is also noted that the current US mortgage sub-prime crisis will raise new challenges to the revival of private investment in the SEACEN countries. While the direct effect of the subprime crisis is through the external sector, its indirect effect through distressed and non-performing loans may result in selfreinforcement between the financial markets and the real economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Choon-Seng Lim & Vincent & Min B. Shrestha, 2009. "Investment in The SEACEN Countries in The Post-Crisis Era: Issues and Challenges," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp77.
  • Handle: RePEc:sea:rstudy:rp77
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.seacen.org/publications/RePEc/702001-100165-PDF.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Thailand: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/231, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Magnoli Bocchi, Alessandro, 2008. "Rising growth, declining investment : the puzzle of the Philippines," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4472, The World Bank.
    3. Svensson, Jakob, 1998. "Investment, property rights and political instability: Theory and evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(7), pages 1317-1341, July.
    4. Sra Chuenchoksan & Don Nakornthab, 2008. "Past, Present, and Prospects for Thailand’s Growth: A Labor Market Perspective," Working Papers 2008-07, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    5. Manuel Agosin & Roberto Machado, 2005. "Foreign Investment in Developing Countries: Does it Crowd in Domestic Investment?," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 149-162.
    6. Cardoso, Eliana, 1993. "Private Investment in Latin America," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41(4), pages 833-848, July.
    7. Roong Poshyananda Mallikamas & Yunyong Thaicharoen & Daungporn Rodpengsangkaha, 2003. "Investment Cycles, Economic Recovery and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2003-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    8. Luis Servén, 2003. "Real-Exchange-Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in LDCS," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(1), pages 212-218, February.
    9. Jongwanich, Juthathip & Kohpaiboon, Archanun, 2008. "Private Investment: Trends and Determinants in Thailand," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 1709-1724, October.
    10. Oshikoya, Temitope W, 1994. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Domestic Private Investment in Africa: An Empirical Analysis," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(3), pages 573-596, April.
    11. Bleaney, Michael & Greenaway, David, 2001. "The impact of terms of trade and real exchange rate volatility on investment and growth in sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 491-500, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Krist Dacharux & Pornnapa Leelapornchai & Manop Udomkerdmongkol, 2009. "Thailand’s Investment in the Post-Crisis Era: Issues and Challenges," Working Papers 2009-08, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    2. Manop Udomkerdmongkol & Sra Chuenchoksan & Nutthikarn Vorasa-ngasil, 2010. "Investment in Thailand: How to unleash the new investment cycle?," Working Papers 2010-05, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    3. Pisit, Puapan, 2014. "Assessment of FDI impact on Thailand's production sectors : implications for investment promotion activities," IDE Discussion Papers 443, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    4. Morrissey, Oliver & Udomkerdmongkol, Manop, 2012. "Governance, Private Investment and Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 437-445.
    5. Manop Udomkerdmongkol & Oliver Morrissey, 2008. "Political Regime, Private Investment, and Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-109, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. James B. Ang, 2010. "Determinants Of Private Investment In Malaysia: What Causes The Postcrisis Slumps?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(3), pages 378-391, July.
    7. Tiago V. De V. Cavalcanti & Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2015. "Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 857-873, September.
    8. Chuku Chuku & Kenneth Onye & Hycent Ajah, 2017. "Structural and Institutional Determinants of Investment Activity in Africa," Advances in African Economic, Social and Political Development, in: Diery Seck (ed.), Investment and Competitiveness in Africa, pages 25-50, Springer.
    9. Mr. Ali J Al-Sadiq, 2013. "Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Investment: The Case of Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2013/052, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Bambe, Bao-We-Wal, 2023. "Inflation targeting and private domestic investment in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    11. Demir, Firat, 2013. "Growth under exchange rate volatility: Does access to foreign or domestic equity markets matter?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 74-88.
    12. Tuomas Peltonen & Ricardo Sousa & Isabel Vansteenkiste, 2012. "Investment in emerging market economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 97-119, August.
    13. Samuel Kwabena Obeng & Linda Akoto & Felicia Acquah, 2018. "Democracy, Globalization and Private Investment in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 1-20, February.
    14. Haddad, Mona & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2010. "Can Real Exchange Rate Undervaluation Boost Exports and Growth in Developing Countries? Yes, But Not for Long," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 20, pages 1-5, June.
    15. Ibrahima Amadou DIALLO, 2015. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Investment: A Panel Data Cointegration Approach," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(2), pages 127-135.
    16. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth," IMF Working Papers 2012/012, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Arthur Chopkeng Awounang & Maxime Niee Foning, 2014. "Macroeconomic Volatility and Physical Capital Accumulation in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Economic Sciences, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(2), pages 01-19.
    18. Micheal Kofi Boachie & Martin Ruzima & Mustapha Immurana, 2020. "The Concurrent Effect of Financial Development and Trade Openness on Private Investment in India," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 190-220, December.
    19. Bank for International Settlements, 2008. "Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 35.
    20. Kul B. Luintel & George Mavrotas, 2005. "Examining Private Investment Heterogeneity: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2005-11, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sea:rstudy:rp77. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Azharin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/seacemy.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.