IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/b/erf/erfstu/45.html
   My bibliography  Save this book

Economic Convergence in South-Eastern Europe: Will the Financial Sector deliver?

Editor

Listed:
  • Morten Balling

Author

Listed:
  • Max Watson
  • Valerie Herzberg

Abstract

The rhythm of financial development in south-eastern Europe has accelerated. In a setting of low inflation and robust growth, domestic credit and cross-border flows are expanding. This process can strengthen real convergence by supporting productivity gains that enhance competitiveness and a smooth servicing of external liabilities. But such an outcome is not guaranteed. It depends on a favourable investment climate. Otherwise a normal expansion of household borrowing and housing investment might not be balanced by rising financial support for the traded goods sector, implying weak foundations for sustained growth. EU Accession - with its potential for trade and investment integration, and an acquis-based strengthening of institutions - improves the chances of good outcomes. It also triggers accelerated financial development, including through the role of EU-15 banks. There is a setting that raises the stakes for policy: it can spur the expansion of the productive economy; but it can also magnify distortions, as seen in the proliferation of unhedged foreign currency borrowing. Prudent fiscal policies and bold structural reforms are needed to underpin the medium-term outlook for growth and forestall risks of financial stress.

Suggested Citation

  • Max Watson & Valerie Herzberg, 2007. "Economic Convergence in South-Eastern Europe: Will the Financial Sector deliver?," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2007/2 edited by Morten Balling, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:erf:erfstu:45
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.suerf.org/docx/s_c88d8d0a6097754525e02c2246d8d27f_1549_suerf.pdf
    File Function: Main Text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zoran Grubisic & Perisa Ivanovic, 2012. "Influence of different monetary regimes on financial stability in see countries," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 1(1), pages 91-106.
    2. Andreas Hoffmann, 2010. "An Overinvestment Cycle In Central And Eastern Europe?," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 711-734, November.
    3. Perisa Ivanovic & Zoran Grubisic & Nikola Fabris, 2011. "Policies Aa a Result of Global Credit Boom in SEE Countries," Book Chapters, in: Stefan Bogdan Salej & Dejan Eric & Srdjan Redzepagic & Ivan Stosic (ed.), Contemporary Issues in the Integration Processes of Western Balkan Countries in the European Union, chapter 22, pages 355-374, Institute of Economic Sciences.
    4. Zoran Grubisic & Perisa Ivanovic & Nikola Fabris, 2011. "Financial System Integration of Serbia in the European Financial System," Book Chapters, in: Mirjana Radovic Markovic & Srdjan Redzepagic & João Sousa Andrade & Paulino Teixeira (ed.), Serbia and the European Union: Economic Lessons from the New Member States, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, pages 77-91, Institute of Economic Sciences.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; financial development; South Eastern Europe; the Balkans;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:erf:erfstu:45. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dragana Popovic (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/suerfea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.