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Konjunkturprognosen und wissenschaftlich-technischer Fortschritt

Author

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  • Dicke, Hugo
  • Glismann, Hans G.

Abstract

Wissenschaftliche Prognosen unterscheiden sich von sonstigen Vorhersagen nicht zuletzt dadurch, daß mit ihnen der Anspruch auf systematische Verbesserbarkeit verknüpft wird. Hat sich die Treffsicherheit von Konjunkturprognosen als Folge des wissenschaftlich-technischen Fortschritts verbessert?

Suggested Citation

  • Dicke, Hugo & Glismann, Hans G., 2002. "Konjunkturprognosen und wissenschaftlich-technischer Fortschritt," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 82(3), pages 167-169.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:wirtdi:41220
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    Cited by:

    1. Heilemann Ullrich & Stekler Herman O., 2013. "Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved?," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 235-253, May.
    2. Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche, 2006. "Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 777-798, September.
    3. Klinger, Sabine & Heilemann, Ullrich, 2005. "Zu wenig Wettbewerb? Zu Stand und Entwicklung der Genauigkeit makroökonomischer Prognosen," Technical Reports 2005,16, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    4. Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?," Technical Reports 2003,31, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.

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