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Arbeitsmarkt: Vieles gleich, aber alles anders

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  • Schäfer, Holger

Abstract

Die in den 1950er Jahren infolge der Kriegsschäden und Einwanderung Vertriebener nach Westdeutschland noch hohe Arbeitslosigkeit (Braun/Weber, 2016) glaubte man überwunden. Die Arbeitslosenquote lag im Zeitraum 1960 bis 1973 nur einmal - im Jahr 1967 infolge einer leichten Rezession - kurzzeitig über 2 Prozent der abhängigen zivilen Erwerbspersonen. Dies änderte sich in den Jahren 1974 und 1975 deutlich, als im Zuge des Ölpreisschocks das Bruttoinlandsprodukt zunächst nur schwach zunahm und dann sogar recht deutlich zurückging. In dieser Phase stieg die Arbeitslosenquote auf 4 bis 5 Prozent (Abbildung 1). Dieser Anstieg war Ausgangspunkt einer langen Arbeitsmarktkrise, die bis zum Jahr 2005 andauerte.

Suggested Citation

  • Schäfer, Holger, 2024. "Arbeitsmarkt: Vieles gleich, aber alles anders," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 51(1), pages 51-57.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwktre:295158
    DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.24-01-07
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    Keywords

    Arbeitslosigkeit; demografische Trends; Erwerbspersonenpotenzial und Beschäftigung;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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