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Deutschland 1997: Schwacher, exportgetragener Aufschwung

Author

Listed:
  • Ludwig, Udo
  • Tober, Silke
  • Grunert, Ruth
  • Haschke, Ingrid
  • Snelting, Martin
  • Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich
  • Loose, Brigitte

Abstract

Mit dem Jahresausblick für 1997 wird die Konjunkturprognose von Mitte 1996 für das Jahr 1997 aktualisiert. Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion erhält im Jahr 1997 infolge der anziehenden Weltkonjunktur und der Normalisierung des Außenwerts der D-Mark Impulse vom Export. Die Selbstverstärkung des Aufschwungs wird schwach bleiben, da die verfügbaren Einkommen der privaten Haushalte nur geringen Spielraum für zusätzlichen Konsum bieten. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird 1997 mit 2,1 % expandieren. Der Aufschwung bleibt jedoch zu schwach, um einen Abbau der Arbeitslosigkeit zu ermöglichen.

Suggested Citation

  • Ludwig, Udo & Tober, Silke & Grunert, Ruth & Haschke, Ingrid & Snelting, Martin & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Loose, Brigitte, 1997. "Deutschland 1997: Schwacher, exportgetragener Aufschwung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(4), pages 4-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-4-97-3
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