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Chinesische Massenimporte und Wahlverhalten in Europa: Kann der Aufstieg der politischen Ränder durch Importschocks erklärt werden?

Author

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  • Backes, Annika
  • Müller, Steffen

Abstract

Wir untersuchen die kurz- und langfristigen Auswirkungen eines starken Anstiegs chinesischer Importe auf Wahlergebnisse in Europa. Populistische sowie links- und rechtsextreme Parteien gewannen erst viele Jahre nach dem Höhepunkt des China-Schocks bedeutenden Zuwachs an Wählerstimmen. Wir zeigen, dass die Auswirkungen von Importschocks überwiegend zugunsten populistischer Parteien ausfallen. In geringerem Maße profitieren in der kurzen Frist zudem linksextreme Parteien, langfristig hingegen rechtsextreme Parteien. Die Effekte auf das Wahlverhalten sind jedoch moderat und wir schlussfolgern, dass Importschocks den Aufstieg der politischen Ränder nur in begrenztem Maße erklären können.

Suggested Citation

  • Backes, Annika & Müller, Steffen, 2024. "Chinesische Massenimporte und Wahlverhalten in Europa: Kann der Aufstieg der politischen Ränder durch Importschocks erklärt werden?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 30(4), pages 80-84.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhwiw:308538
    DOI: 10.18717/ww7vx5-9k71
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Globalisierung; Importschocks; Populismus; Wahlverhalten;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • F6 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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