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Analysis of Short-Run Output Fluctuations in Poland and Policy Implications

Author

Listed:
  • Yu Hsing

    (College of Business & Technology, Southeastern Louisiana University, USA)

Abstract

Applying a general equilibrium approach, this paper examines output fluctuations in Poland and finds that real output is negatively influenced by the deficit/GDP ratio, the euro interest rate, the expected inflation rate, and country risk and positively affected by real quantity of money and real appreciation. Policy implications are that expansionary fiscal policy would not generate expected outcomes, that the conventional approach of devaluating a currency would not apply to Poland, and that a stable political, fiscal and financial environment would reduce country risk and help raise output.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Hsing, 2005. "Analysis of Short-Run Output Fluctuations in Poland and Policy Implications," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:zag:zirebs:v:8:y:2005:i:1:p:1-10
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    country risk; real appreciation; deficit spending; world interest rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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