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Savings Behavior In India: Co-Integration And Causality Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • PRADEEP AGRAWAL

    (Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Endowment Unit, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi University Enclave, Delhi 110007, India)

  • SAHOO PRAVAKAR

    (Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Endowment Unit, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi University Enclave, Delhi 110007, India)

  • RANJAN KUMAR DASH

    (Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Endowment Unit, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi University Enclave, Delhi 110007, India)

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of savings behavior in India and the direction of causality between savings and income per capita as these have important implications for development policy. We estimate long-run savings functions for India using modern co-integration procedures. Our empirical results show that higher income per capita and improved access to banking facilities significantly improves savings in India. On the other hand, foreign savings and public savings have negative impact on private and household savings. We also carry out an analysis of the direction of causality between savings and income. The results suggest that there is a one-way causation from income per capita to the savings rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradeep Agrawal & Sahoo Pravakar & Ranjan Kumar Dash, 2010. "Savings Behavior In India: Co-Integration And Causality Evidence," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 55(02), pages 273-295.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:55:y:2010:i:02:n:s0217590810003717
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590810003717
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kunal Sen, 2002. "Trade Policy, Equipment Investment and Growth in India," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 317-331.
    2. Barro, Robert J & Lee, Jong-Wha, 2001. "International Data on Educational Attainment: Updates and Implications," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 53(3), pages 541-563, July.
    3. Kivilcim Metin Ozcan & Asli Gunay & Seda Ertac, 2003. "Determinants of private savings behaviour in Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(12), pages 1405-1416.
    4. Dufresne, François & Gerber, Hans U. & Shiu, Elias S. W., 1991. "Risk Theory with the Gamma Process," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 177-192, November.
    5. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 1993. "Estimation and Inference in Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195060119.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Keshab Raj Bhattarai, 2016. "Economic Growth and Development in India and SAARC Countries," EcoMod2016 9631, EcoMod.
    2. Ghosh, Soumya Kanti & Nath, Hiranya K., 2023. "What determines private and household savings in India?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 639-651.
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping & Chang, Chi-Hung, 2014. "Industry co-movement and cross-listing: Do home country factors matter?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 96-110.
    4. Santosh K. Dash & Lakshmi Kumar, 2018. "Does Inflation Affect Savings Non-linearly? Evidence from India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 12(4), pages 431-457, November.
    5. Pravakar Sahoo & Ashwani Bishnoi, 2021. "Investment Behavior in India: What led to Investment Slowdown and how to Revive it?," IEG Working Papers 436, Institute of Economic Growth.
    6. Yilmaz BAYAR, 2014. "Savings, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Economic Growth in Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(8), pages 1106-1122, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Savings; growth; India; causality; co-integration; E21; O16;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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