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The Impact of Sentiment on Commodity Return and Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Aktham Maghyereh

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, UAE)

  • Hussein Abdoh

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, UAE)

  • Mohammad Al-Shboul

    (Department of Finance and Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, UAE)

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the effect of investor sentiment on returns and volatility of eight commodities. The findings suggest that sentiment has a predictive power on these commodities’ return and volatility. Fundamentally, return and volatility are positively associated with sentiment, suggesting that investors in the commodity markets are irrational — entailing the existence of noise trading. The results confirm the prediction of the affect infusion model in which optimistic investors are willing to take more risks, thus, raising returns and volatility. Furthermore, sentiment has a significant asymmetrical impact on volatility, and negative sentiment has a significantly greater impact than positive sentiment.

Suggested Citation

  • Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh & Mohammad Al-Shboul, 2020. "The Impact of Sentiment on Commodity Return and Volatility," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(04), pages 1-34, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:23:y:2020:i:04:n:s0219091520500344
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091520500344
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