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A Study on Unobserved Structural Innovations of Oil Price: Evidence from Global Stock, Bond, Foreign Exchange, and Energy Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Jungho Baek

    (Department of Economics, School of Management, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK 99775-6080, USA)

  • Ji-Yong Seo

    (Department of Business Administration, College of Business, Sangmyung University, 20, Hongjimun 2-gil, Jongno-gu, Seoul, Korea)

Abstract

This study examines the effects of oil shocks by their respective causes and of volatility spillover including leverage effects. Previous studies did not analyze oil factor by categorizing it into three components (supply shock, demand shock, and market shock) as determinants of rate of return in stock markets, a key issue in finance. Results show that oil shocks determine returns in the global stock market, bond market, foreign exchange market, and energy market, and that their effects vary by types of markets, levels of oil prices, and types of oil shocks. Second, the leverage effect of oil shocks and the spillover effect of volatility in demand shock and market shock are mostly statistically significant during periods characterized by high oil prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Jungho Baek & Ji-Yong Seo, 2015. "A Study on Unobserved Structural Innovations of Oil Price: Evidence from Global Stock, Bond, Foreign Exchange, and Energy Markets," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 1-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:18:y:2015:i:01:n:s0219091515500046
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091515500046
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wensheng Kang & Jing Wang, 2018. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and earnings surprises," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 375-388, August.
    2. Moses K. Tule & Umar B. Ndako & Samuel F. Onipede, 2017. "Oil price shocks and volatility spillovers in the Nigerian sovereign bond market," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(1), pages 57-65, November.
    3. Willy Alanya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2019. "Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Markets," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
    4. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Causal nexus between crude oil and US corporate bonds," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 577-589.
    5. Tule, Moses K. & Ndako, Umar B. & Onipede, Samuel F., 2017. "Oil price shocks and volatility spillovers in the Nigerian sovereign bond market," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 57-65.
    6. Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Oil shocks and volatility jumps," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
    7. Phillip A. Cartwright & Natalija Riabko, 2019. "Do spot food commodity and oil prices predict futures prices?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 153-194, July.
    8. Chih-Chen Hsu & An-Sing Chen & Shih-Kuei Lin & Ting-Fu Chen, 2017. "The affine styled-facts price dynamics for the natural gas: evidence from daily returns and option prices," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 819-848, April.
    9. Mirzosaid Sultonov, 2016. "Dynamic conditional correlation and causality relationship among foreign exchange, stock and commodity markets: Evidence from 2014 Russian financial crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 949-962.
    10. Hui Li & Raul Paraco, 2018. "Impact of Oil Price on Australian Stock Market Returns," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(03), pages 1-27, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Leverage effects; supply shock; demand shock; market shock; spillover effect of volatility; G12; G14;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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