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The Impact of Auditors' Opinions, Macroeconomic and Industry Factors on Financial Distress Prediction: An Empirical Investigation

Author

Listed:
  • Bi-Huei Tsai

    (Department of Management Science, College of Management, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan)

  • Cheng-Few Lee

    (Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA)

  • Lili Sun

    (Department of Accounting, University of North Texas, 1155 Union Circle #305219, Denton, Texas 76203-5017, USA)

Abstract

This study investigates the usefulness of auditors' opinions, market factors, macroeconomic factors, and industry factors in predicting financial distress of Taiwanese firms. Specifically, two non-traditional auditors' opinions are evaluated: "long-term investment audited by other auditors" ("other auditor"), and "realized investment income based on non-audited financial statements" ("no auditor").The results of the 22 discrete-time hazard models show that "other auditor" opinions have incremental contribution in predicting financial distress, in addition to "going concern" opinions. This suggests that "other auditor" opinions possess higher risk of overstating earnings and firms with such income items are more likely to fail. Besides, we find that the macroeconomic factors studied significantly explain financial distress. Particularly, the survivals of electronic firms are more sensitive to earnings due to higher earnings fluctuations in such firms. Finally, models with auditors' opinions, market factors, macroeconomic factors, and industry factors perform better than the financial ratio-only model in financial distress prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Bi-Huei Tsai & Cheng-Few Lee & Lili Sun, 2009. "The Impact of Auditors' Opinions, Macroeconomic and Industry Factors on Financial Distress Prediction: An Empirical Investigation," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(03), pages 417-454.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:12:y:2009:i:03:n:s0219091509001691
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091509001691
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    Cited by:

    1. Enrique Batiz‐Zuk & Fabrizio López‐Gallo & Abdulkadir Mohamed & Fátima Sánchez‐Cajal, 2022. "Determinants of loan survival rates for small and medium‐sized enterprises: Evidence from an emerging economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4741-4755, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial distress; auditors' opinion; discrete-time hazard model; macroeconomics; earnings quality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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