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Beta Estimation and Stability in the US-Listed International Transportation Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Stephen X. H. Gong

    (School of Accounting and Finance, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China)

  • Michael Firth

    (School of Accounting and Finance, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China)

  • Kevin Cullinane

    (School of Marine Science and Technology, Armstrong Building, University of Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK)

Abstract

Although perceived as risk-laden, cyclical businesses with high financial and operating leverage, relatively low beta risks have been documented for the international transportation industry. This paper analyses whether such results are robust to different estimation designs and asserts that previous beta estimates are confounded by sample selection problems. Developing a more representative sample and implementing a number of different estimation designs, a range of industry beta estimates are derived. It is concluded that beta estimates of US-listed international transportation stocks are sensitive to estimation design and that industry beta risk is time-varying. This has implications for the industry cost of capital and pricing policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen X. H. Gong & Michael Firth & Kevin Cullinane, 2006. "Beta Estimation and Stability in the US-Listed International Transportation Industry," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 463-490.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:09:y:2006:i:03:n:s0219091506000811
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091506000811
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sibel Celik, 2013. "Testing the Stability of Beta: A Sectoral Analysis in Turkish Stock Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(1), pages 18-23.
    2. Stephen X. H. Gong, 2008. "Event Study in Transport Research: Methodology and Applications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 207-222, May.
    3. Katsiaryna Salavei Bardos & Brandon N. Cline & Gregory Koutmos, 2020. "Risk dynamics around restatement announcements," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1279-1313, May.
    4. Gong, Stephen X.H. & Firth, Michael & Cullinane, Kevin, 2006. "The information content of earnings releases by global airlines," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 82-91.
    5. Drobetz, Wolfgang & Menzel, Christina & Schröder, Henning, 2016. "Systematic risk behavior in cyclical industries: The case of shipping," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 129-145.
    6. Pouliasis, Panos K. & Papapostolou, Nikos C. & Kyriakou, Ioannis & Visvikis, Ilias D., 2018. "Shipping equity risk behavior and portfolio management," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 178-200.
    7. Gong, Stephen X.H., 2007. "Bankruptcy protection and stock market behavior in the US airline industry," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 213-220.
    8. Panayides, Photis M. & Lambertides, Neophytos & Cullinane, Kevin, 2013. "Liquidity risk premium and asset pricing in US water transportation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 3-15.
    9. Thomas Conlon & Brian M. Lucey & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2018. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? A wavelet time-scale perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 317-345, August.
    10. Wolfgang Drobetz & Dirk Schilling & Lars Tegtmeier, 2010. "Common risk factors in the returns of shipping stocks," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 93-120, March.
    11. Tobias Schlueter & Soenke Sievers, 2014. "Determinants of market beta: the impacts of firm-specific accounting figures and market conditions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 535-570, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transportation; Beta estimation; Risk; Stock market; Stability; JEL Classification: G11; JEL Classification: G12; JEL Classification: R42;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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