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Stock Market Linkages Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis: Evidence from Three Greater China Economic Area Stock Markets and the US

Author

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  • Hwahsin Cheng

    (Fannie Mae, 3900 Wisconsin Avenue N.W., Washington DC 20016, USA)

  • John L. Glascock

    (Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge, 19 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, United Kingdom)

Abstract

We investigate the stock market linkages between the United States and three Greater China Economic Area stock markets — China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, before and after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Daily stock market indices from January 1995 to December 2000 are used for the analysis. Results from Granger causality test indicate increased feedback relationships between the markets in the post-crisis period. We also find, from the principal component analysis, fewer common factors affecting stock returns after the crisis, suggesting more harmonious market co-movements after the financial crisis. Additionally, results from a variance decomposition analysis suggest that stock markets are more responsive to foreign shocks after the crisis. This further strengthens the evidence that stock markets become more interrelated after the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Hwahsin Cheng & John L. Glascock, 2006. "Stock Market Linkages Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis: Evidence from Three Greater China Economic Area Stock Markets and the US," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(02), pages 297-315.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:09:y:2006:i:02:n:s0219091506000732
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091506000732
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    Cited by:

    1. Sunil S. Poshakwale & Anandadeep Mandal, 2017. "Sources of time varying return comovements during different economic regimes: evidence from the emerging Indian equity market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 859-892, May.
    2. Hui Hong & Fergal O'Brien & James Ryan, 2014. "Inflation And The Subsequent Timing Of The Chinese Stock Market," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 10(2), pages 13-35.
    3. Shalini TALWAR & Jayant PANSARE, 2018. "Transmission of Shock across International Stock Markets: An Econometric Analysis," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 110-119.
    4. Luo, Weiwei & Brooks, Robert D. & Silvapulle, Param, 2011. "Effects of the open policy on the dependence between the Chinese 'A' stock market and other equity markets: An industry sector perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 49-74, February.
    5. Ranjan Dasgupta, 2017. "Association of South-East Asian Nations-US Stock Market Associations in and Around US 2007-09 Financial Crisis: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Application for Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 684-705.
    6. Ansari, Md Gyasuddin & Sensarma, Rudra, 2019. "US monetary policy, oil and gold prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS stock markets?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 130-151.
    7. John Glascock & Lynne Kelly, 2007. "The Relative Effect of Property Type and Country Factors in Reduction of Risk of Internationally Diversified Real Estate Portfolios," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 369-384, April.
    8. Shuangqi Li & Qi‐an Chen, 2021. "Do the Shanghai–Hong Kong & Shenzhen–Hong Kong Stock Connect programs enhance co‐movement between the Mainland Chinese, Hong Kong, and U.S. stock markets?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2871-2890, April.
    9. Bakri Abdul Karim & M. Shabri Abd. Majid, 2010. "Does trade matter for stock market integration?," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(1), pages 47-66, March.
    10. Kim Hiang Liow, 2008. "Financial Crisis and Asian Real Estate Securities Market Interdependence: Some Additional Evidence," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 127-155, November.
    11. Belanes, Amel & Saâdaoui, Foued & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Potential diversification benefits: A comparative study of Islamic and conventional stock market indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    12. Changki Kim & Yangho Choi & Woojoo Lee & Jae Youn Ahn, 2013. "Analyzing Herd Behavior in Global Stock Markets: An Intercontinental Comparison," Papers 1308.3966, arXiv.org.
    13. Muhammad Owais Qarni & Gulzar Saqib, 2018. "Return and Volatility Spillover across stock markets of China and its Major Trading Partners: Evidence from Shanghai Stock Exchange Crash," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 10(3), pages 1-20, September.
    14. Ahmad Abu-Alkheil & Walayet A. Khan & Bhavik Parikh, 2020. "Risk-Reward Trade-Off and Volatility Performance of Islamic Versus Conventional Stock Indices: Global Evidence," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01), pages 1-29, March.
    15. Narayan, Seema & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2012. "Do US macroeconomic conditions affect Asian stock markets?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 669-679.
    16. Hong, Hui & Chen, Naiwei & O’Brien, Fergal & Ryan, James, 2018. "Stock return predictability and model instability: Evidence from mainland China and Hong Kong," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 132-142.
    17. Slah Bahloul & Mourad Mroua & Nader Naifar, 2017. "Further evidence on international Islamic and conventional portfolios diversification under regime switching," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(39), pages 3959-3978, August.
    18. Kim Hiang Liow & Yuting Huang & Kai Li Heng, 2019. "Relationship between Foreign Macroeconomic Conditions and Asian-Pacific Public Real Estate Markets: The Relative Influence of the US and China," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-28, October.
    19. Abdul Karim, Zulkefly & Abdul Karim, Bakri, 2008. "Stock market integration: Malaysia and its major trading partners," MPRA Paper 26976, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2009.
    20. Ezzat, Hassan, 2014. "Impact of Political Instability on Cointegration: Evidence from MENA Region Stock Markets during Pre and Post Egyptian Revolution Period," MPRA Paper 110566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Wang, Kehluh & Chen, Yi-Hsuan & Huang, Szu-Wei, 2011. "The dynamic dependence between the Chinese market and other international stock markets: A time-varying copula approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 654-664, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market linkages; international diversification; market integration; JEL Classification: G10; JEL Classification: G15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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