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Do Equity Markets Favor Credit Market News Over Options Market News?

Author

Listed:
  • Antje Berndt

    (Poole College of Management, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA)

  • Anastasiya Ostrovnaya

    (Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA)

Abstract

Credit default swap (CDS) and equity options markets often experience abnormal swings prior to the announcement of negative credit news. Option prices reveal information about such forthcoming adverse events at least as early as credit spreads, except for negative earnings announcements. Prior to negative credit news being announced, the equity market does not respond to abnormal movements in option prices unless that information has also manifested itself in credit spreads, perhaps because options are perceived as more likely to trade on unsubstantiated rumors than default swaps.

Suggested Citation

  • Antje Berndt & Anastasiya Ostrovnaya, 2014. "Do Equity Markets Favor Credit Market News Over Options Market News?," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 1-51.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:qjfxxx:v:04:y:2014:i:02:n:s2010139214500062
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010139214500062
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Augustin, Patrick & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Wang, Sarah Qian, 2014. "Credit Default Swaps: A Survey," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 9(1-2), pages 1-196, December.
    2. Griffin, Paul A. & Lont, David H., 2018. "Game changer? The impact of the VW emission-cheating scandal on the interrelation between large automakers’ equity and credit markets," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 179-196.
    3. Wang, Ruolin & Basu, Anup & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Are credit default swaps still a sideshow? How information flow between equity and CDS markets has changed since the financial crisis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Gauri Bhat & Jeffrey L. Callen & Dan Segal, 2016. "Testing the Transparency Implications of Mandatory IFRS Adoption: The Spread/Maturity Relation of Credit Default Swaps," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(12), pages 3472-3493, December.
    5. Marra, Miriam & Yu, Fan & Zhu, Lu, 2019. "The impact of trade reporting and central clearing on CDS price informativeness," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 130-145.
    6. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert, 2018. "Is Thailand’s credit default swap market linked to bond and stock markets? Evidence from the term structure of credit spreads," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 324-341.
    7. Davide E Avino & Enrique Salvador, 2024. "Contingent Claims and Hedging of Credit Risk with Equity Options," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(2), pages 310-348.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Danuletiu, Dan & Xu, Bing, 2022. "CDS spreads and COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Ran Zhao & Lu Zhu, 2020. "The externalities of credit default swaps on stock return synchronicity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 92-125, January.
    10. Paul A. Griffin & Hyun A. Hong & Jeong-Bon Kim, 2016. "Price discovery in the CDS market: the informational role of equity short interest," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1116-1148, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit and equity derivatives; lead-lag analysis; accounting scandals; negative earnings; leveraged buyouts; G12; G13; G14; D8;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

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