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A Maximal Predictability Portfolio Using Dynamic Factor Selection Strategy

Author

Listed:
  • HIROSHI KONNO

    (Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Chuo University, Japan)

  • YOSHIHIRO TAKAYA

    (Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Chuo University, Japan)

  • REI YAMAMOTO

    (Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Chuo University, Japan;
    Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Investment Technology Institute Co., Ltd., Japan)

Abstract

In this paper, we will propose a practical method for improving the performance of a maximal predictability portfolio (MPP) model proposed by Lo and MacKinlay and later extended by the authors. We will employ an alternative version of MPP using absolute deviation instead of variance as a measure of fitting and apply a dynamic strategy for choosing the set of factors which fits best to the market data. It will be shown that this approach leads to a significantly better performance than the standard MPP and the index.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroshi Konno & Yoshihiro Takaya & Rei Yamamoto, 2010. "A Maximal Predictability Portfolio Using Dynamic Factor Selection Strategy," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 355-366.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:13:y:2010:i:03:n:s0219024910005802
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219024910005802
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Goebel, 2023. "Maximally Machine-Learnable Portfolios," Papers 2306.05568, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    2. Michael Pinelis & David Ruppert, 2023. "Maximizing Portfolio Predictability with Machine Learning," Papers 2311.01985, arXiv.org.
    3. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2023. "Maximally Machine-Learnable Portfolios," Working Papers 23-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Apr 2023.

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