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Long Memory And Persistence In Dollar-Based Real Exchange Rates

Author

Listed:
  • FOTIOS SIOKIS

    (Economic Research Division, ALPHA BANK and Department of Economics, University of Patras, Greece)

  • CHRIS CHRISTODOULOU

    (Department of Economics, Cyprus College, Cyprus)

Abstract

A common view among recent studies on purchasing power parity is that the post-Bretton Woods period is far too short to reveal any significant parity reversion in individual series of real exchange rates. The answer depends on the statistical techniques being used. This study uses alternative econometric time-series technique, which does not require long sample sizes, and reports strong evidence of mean reversion in dollar-based real exchange rates. Further analysis of the estimated impulse responses indicates that the persistence in real exchange rate changes is difficult to detect because the short and long run dynamics interact in such a way that the impulse response weights exhibit a rapid decay.

Suggested Citation

  • Fotios Siokis & Chris Christodoulou, 2004. "Long Memory And Persistence In Dollar-Based Real Exchange Rates," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 31-44.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:07:y:2004:i:01:n:s0219024904002311
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219024904002311
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    Keywords

    Purchasing power parity; fractional integration; Whittle likelihood estimation; JEL classification code: F31; F41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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