IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ijmpcx/v32y2021i01ns0129183121500145.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Correlating USA COVID-19 cases at epidemic onset days to domestic flights passenger inflows by state

Author

Listed:
  • J. A. Ruiz-Gayosso

    (Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)

  • M. del Castillo-Escribano

    (Escuela Nacional de Estudios Superiores, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Morelia 58190, Mexico)

  • E. Hernández-Ramírez

    (Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)

  • M. del Castillo-Mussot

    (Instituto de Física, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)

  • A. Pérez-Riascos

    (Instituto de Física, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)

  • J. Hernández-Casildo

    (Escuela Superior de Física y Matemáticas, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Mexico City 07738, Mexico)

Abstract

In the USA, COVID-19 first infection cases were imported by external travelers. At the epidemic onset days, we assume that the disease partially spreads due to domestic passengers air transportation in its densely connected airport network. Taking into account all USA states, we arranged COVID-19 infected cases data in a convenient common time origin timeline as if the beginning of the epidemic would have occurred simultaneously in every state. Looking for a trend between cases and air passengers, we obtained with this timeline very good statistical Pearson and Spearman correlations between accumulated infected cases by state and a positive power of the product TP, where T is the domestic flight passengers (travelers) inflow by state before the epidemic and P is its population. We also found a good correlation between percentages of urban area by state and their COVID-19 daily new cases growth rates at onset days.

Suggested Citation

  • J. A. Ruiz-Gayosso & M. del Castillo-Escribano & E. Hernández-Ramírez & M. del Castillo-Mussot & A. Pérez-Riascos & J. Hernández-Casildo, 2021. "Correlating USA COVID-19 cases at epidemic onset days to domestic flights passenger inflows by state," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 32(01), pages 1-14, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:32:y:2021:i:01:n:s0129183121500145
    DOI: 10.1142/S0129183121500145
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0129183121500145
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0129183121500145?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:32:y:2021:i:01:n:s0129183121500145. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/ijmpc/ijmpc.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.