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Estimation of the number of affected people due to the Covid-19 pandemic using susceptible, infected and recover model

Author

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  • Md. Enamul Hoque

    (Department of Physics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet — 3114, Bangladesh)

Abstract

The Susceptible, Infected and Recover (SIR) model is a very simple model to estimate the dynamics of an epidemic. In the current pandemic due to Covid-19, the SIR model has been used to estimate the dynamics of infection for various infected countries. Numerical solutions are used to obtain the value of parameters for the SIR model. The maximum and minimum basic reproduction number (14.5 and 2.3) are predicted to be in Turkey and China, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Enamul Hoque, 2020. "Estimation of the number of affected people due to the Covid-19 pandemic using susceptible, infected and recover model," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 31(08), pages 1-5, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:31:y:2020:i:08:n:s0129183120501119
    DOI: 10.1142/S0129183120501119
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    Cited by:

    1. Bibha Dhungel & Md. Shafiur Rahman & Md. Mahfuzur Rahman & Aliza K. C. Bhandari & Phuong Mai Le & Nushrat Alam Biva & Stuart Gilmour, 2022. "Reliability of Early Estimates of the Basic Reproduction Number of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-14, September.
    2. Malik, Yashpal Singh & Obli Rajendran, Vinodhkumar & MA, Ikram & Pande, Tripti & Ravichandran, Karthikeyan & Jaganathasamy, Nagaraj & Ganesh, Balasubramanian & Santhakumar, Aridoss & Tazerji, Sina Sal, 2021. "Responses to COVID-19 in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries in 2020, a data analysis during a world of crises," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

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