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Improving epidemic control strategies by extended detection

Author

Listed:
  • Paweł Karp

    (Marian Smoluchowski Institute of Physics and Mark Kac Center for Complex Systems Research, Jagiellonian University, ul. Reymonta 4, 30–059 Kraków, Poland)

  • Bartłomiej Dybiec

    (Marian Smoluchowski Institute of Physics and Mark Kac Center for Complex Systems Research, Jagiellonian University, ul. Reymonta 4, 30–059 Kraków, Poland)

  • Adam Kleczkowski

    (Department Computing Science and Mathematics, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LA, UK)

Abstract

Majority of epidemics eradication programs work in preventive responsive way. The lack of exact information about epidemiological status of individuals makes responsive actions less efficient. Here, we demonstrate that additional tests can significantly increase the efficiency of "blind" treatment (vaccination or culling). Eradication strategy consisting of "blind" treatment in very limited local neighborhood supplemented by extra tests in a little bit larger neighborhood is able to prevent invasion of even highly infectious diseases and to achieve this at a cost lower than for the "blind" strategy. The effectiveness of the extended strategy depends on such parameters as the test efficiency and test cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Paweł Karp & Bartłomiej Dybiec & Adam Kleczkowski, 2014. "Improving epidemic control strategies by extended detection," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(04), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:25:y:2014:i:04:n:s0129183113501064
    DOI: 10.1142/S0129183113501064
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