IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ijmpcx/v17y2006i02ns0129183106008935.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simulation Of Mad Cow Disease Propagation

Author

Listed:
  • M. S. MAGDOŃ-MAKSYMOWICZ

    (Department of Mathematical Statistics, Agricultural University, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Kraków, Poland)

  • A. Z. MAKSYMOWICZ

    (Department of Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Physics and Applied Computer Science, AGH-University of Science and Technology, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Kraków, Poland)

  • J. GOŁDASZ

    (Delphi Technical Center Kraków, ul. Podgórki Tynieckie 2, 30-399 Kraków, Poland)

Abstract

Computer simulation of dynamic of BSE disease is presented. Both vertical (to baby) and horizontal (to neighbor) mechanisms of the disease spread are considered. The game takes place on a two-dimensional square latticeNx×Ny= 1000×1000with initial population randomly distributed on the net. The disease may be introduced either with the initial population or by a spontaneous development of BSE in an item, at a small frequency. Main results show a critical probability of the BSE transmission above which the disease is present in the population. This value is vulnerable to possible spatial clustering of the population and it also depends on the mechanism responsible for the disease onset, evolution and propagation. A threshold birth rate below which the population is extinct is seen. Above this threshold the population is disease free at equilibrium until another birth rate value is reached when the disease is present in population. For typical model parameters used for the simulation, which may correspond to the mad cow disease, we are close to the BSE-free case.

Suggested Citation

  • M. S. Magdoń-Maksymowicz & A. Z. Maksymowicz & J. Gołdasz, 2006. "Simulation Of Mad Cow Disease Propagation," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 213-222.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:17:y:2006:i:02:n:s0129183106008935
    DOI: 10.1142/S0129183106008935
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0129183106008935
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0129183106008935?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:17:y:2006:i:02:n:s0129183106008935. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/ijmpc/ijmpc.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.