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Does The Price Multiplier Effect Also Hold For Stocks?

Author

Listed:
  • SERGEI MASLOV

    (Department of Physics, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York 11973, USA)

  • BERTRAND M. ROEHNER

    (Institute for Theoretical and High Energy Physics, University of Paris, France)

Abstract

The price multiplier effect provides precious insight into the behavior of investors during episodes of speculative trading. It tells us that the higher the price of an asset (within a set of similar assets), the more its price is likely to increase during the upgoing phase of a speculative price peak. In short, instead of being risk averse, as is often assumed, investors rather seem to be "risk prone". While this effect is known to hold for several sorts of assets, it has not yet been possible to test it for stocks because the price of one share has no intrinsic significance, which means that one cannot say that stockAis more expensive than stockBon the basis of its price. In this paper we show that the price-dividend ratio gives a good basis for assessing the price of stocks in an intrinsic way. When this alternative measure is used instead, it turns out that the price multiplier effect also holds for stocks, at least if one concentrates on samples of companies which are sufficiently homogeneous.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergei Maslov & Bertrand M. Roehner, 2003. "Does The Price Multiplier Effect Also Hold For Stocks?," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(10), pages 1439-1451.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:14:y:2003:i:10:n:s0129183103005510
    DOI: 10.1142/S0129183103005510
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Richmond & Bertrand M. Roehner, 2016. "Property bubble in Hong Kong: A predicted decade-long slump (2016-2025)," Papers 1608.03985, arXiv.org.
    2. Peter Richmond & Bertrand M. Roehner, 2017. "Property bubble in Hong Kong: A predicted decade-long slump (2016–2025)," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 79-99, June.

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