IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ijimxx/v13y2009i02ns1363919609002285.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Innovation Diffusion: Mobile Telephony Adoption In China

Author

Listed:
  • XIELIN LIU

    (Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, School of Management, 80 Zhongguancun East Road, Beijing 1000190, China)

  • FENG-SHANG WU

    (Chengchi University, Graduate Institute of Technology and Innovation Management, 64 ZhiNan Rd. Sec. 2, Taipei 11605, Taiwan)

  • WEN-LIN CHU

    (Chengchi University, Graduate Institute of Technology and Innovation Management, 64 ZhiNan Rd. Sec. 2, Taipei 11605, Taiwan)

Abstract

The rapid diffusion of mobile telephony is an important subject in diffusion studies of innovation. This study attempts to learn how mobile telephony diffuses in China, which has the most mobile telephone subscribers worldwide, in terms of the appropriate growth model and forces driving the diffusion. To identify the appropriate growth model, this study compares the fitness and forecasting ability of three conventional models — the Logistic, Bass, and Gompertz models. The determinants of the diffusion rate are then analyzed based on the most appropriate model. Empirical results, based on data for mobile telephone subscribers in China for 1986–2007, indicate that the Gompertz model performs best. Moreover, the four determinants for the diffusion rate are: number of fixed-line telephone subscribers, the low cost of mobile handsets, pre-paid service and the personal handy-phone system (PHS) service.

Suggested Citation

  • Xielin Liu & Feng-Shang Wu & Wen-Lin Chu, 2009. "Innovation Diffusion: Mobile Telephony Adoption In China," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 245-271.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijimxx:v:13:y:2009:i:02:n:s1363919609002285
    DOI: 10.1142/S1363919609002285
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S1363919609002285
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S1363919609002285?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shy,Oz, 2001. "The Economics of Network Industries," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521800952, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Han, Zhongya & Tang, Zhongjun & He, Bo, 2022. "Improved Bass model for predicting the popularity of product information posted on microblogs," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davide Consoli & Pier Paolo Patrucco, 2011. "Complexity and the Coordination of Technological Knowledge: The Case of Innovation Platforms," Chapters, in: Handbook on the Economic Complexity of Technological Change, chapter 8 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Christian Dahl Winther, 2007. "Optimal research effort and product differentiation in network industries," Economics Working Papers 2007-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Vu, Khuong & Rohman, Ibrahim Kholilul & Bohlin, Erik, 2024. "Promoting the adoption of digital technology: Strategic policy insights from a network effects model," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(10).
    4. Jean Gabszewicz & Victor Ginsburgh & Shlomo Weber, 2011. "Bilingualism and Communicative Benefits," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 101-102, pages 271-286.
    5. Victor Ginsburgh & Jacques Melitz & Farid Toubal, 2014. "Foreign Language Learning : An Econometric Analysis," Working Papers 2014-21, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    6. Heggedal, Tom-Reiel & Helland, Leif & Neset Joslin, Knut-Eric, 2018. "Should I Stay or should I Go? Bandwagons in the lab," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 86-97.
    7. Kazumichi Iwasa & Toru Kikuchi, 2009. "Indirect network effects and the impact of trade liberalization: A note," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 541-552.
    8. Shy Oz, 2012. "Account-to-Account Electronic Money Transfers: Recent Developments in the United States," Review of Network Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, March.
    9. Michiel Bijlsma & Paul de Bijl & Viktoria Kocsis, 2009. "Concurrentie, innovatie en intellectuele eigendomsrechten in software markten," CPB Document 181, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    10. Dejan Trifunović & Đorđe Mitrović, 2016. "Price Discrimination, Entry, And Switching Costs In Network Competition," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 61(209), pages 129-160, April - J.
    11. Mitsuru Sunada, 2008. "Network effects with quality change: an empirical analysis of the Japanese mobile telecommunications market, 1995-2001," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(8), pages 657-674.
    12. Yufeng Huang, 2022. "Tied Goods and Consumer Switching Costs," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(1), pages 93-114, January.
    13. Pradeep Dubey & Rahul Garg & Bernard De Meyer, 2006. "Competing for Customers in a Social Network," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1591, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    14. Tom'as Aguirre, 2024. "On Labs and Fabs: Mapping How Alliances, Acquisitions, and Antitrust are Shaping the Frontier AI Industry," Papers 2406.01722, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    15. Paul De Grauwe & Laura Rinaldi, 2002. "A Model of the Card Payment System and the Interchange Fee," CESifo Working Paper Series 796, CESifo.
    16. Tsuyoshi Toshimitsu, 2024. "Price and Quantity Competition in a Hotelling Linear Market Model with Network Connectivity," Discussion Paper Series 283, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University.
    17. Ligthart, J.E., 2004. "Consumption Taxation in a Digital World : A Primer," Other publications TiSEM 46537bf7-4822-4dbe-b3fa-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Badzińska Ewa & Brzozowska-Woś Magdalena, 2017. "Entrepreneurship in Virtual Economy: the Case of Currency One SA," Journal of Management and Business Administration. Central Europe, Sciendo, vol. 25(3), pages 2-19, September.
    19. Marco Guerzoni & Massimiliano Nuccio, 2014. "Music consumption at the dawn of the music industry: the rise of a cultural fad," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(2), pages 145-171, May.
    20. Drehmann, Mathias & Oechssler, Jorg & Roider, Andreas, 2007. "Herding with and without payoff externalities -- an internet experiment," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 391-415, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ijimxx:v:13:y:2009:i:02:n:s1363919609002285. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/ijim/ijim.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.