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Financial Development, Savings and Investment in South Africa: A Dynamic Causality Test

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  • Brian Muyambiri

    (Department of Economics, University of South Africa, Pretoria, South Africa2Department of Business, Botswana College of Distance and Open Learning, Gaborone, Botswana)

  • Nicholas Odhiambo

    (Department of Economics, University of South Africa, Pretoria, South Africa)

Abstract

This study investigates the causal relationship between financial development and investment in South Africa during the period from 1976 to 2014. The study incorporates both bank-based and market-based segments of financial sector development. In addition, composite indices for bank-based and market-based financial development indicators are used as explanatory variables. The study incorporates savings as an intermittent variable – thereby creating a simple trivariate Granger-causality model. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration and the ECM-based Granger-causality test, the study finds a unidirectional causal flow from investment to financial development, but only in the short run. In the long run, the study fails to find any causal relationship between financial development and investment. These results apply irrespective of whether bank-based or market-based financial development is used as a proxy for financial sector development. The findings of this study have important policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian Muyambiri & Nicholas Odhiambo, 2017. "Financial Development, Savings and Investment in South Africa: A Dynamic Causality Test," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 1-10, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:gejxxx:v:17:y:2017:i:03:n:gej-2017-0042
    DOI: 10.1142/GEJ-2017-0042
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    Cited by:

    1. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2018. "Financial Development and Investment in Botswana: A Multivariate Causality Test," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 72-89, December.
    2. Brian Muyambiri & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Financial Development and Investment Dynamics in Mauritius: A Trivariate Granger-Causality Analysis," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(2-3), pages 62-73, April-Sep.
    3. Brian Muyambiri & John-Baptiste Mabejane, 2023. "The Nexus Of External Debt, Private Investment And Financial Development: Evidence From Selected Sacu Countries," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 21(1), pages 25-40, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    South Africa; Investment; Bank-based financial development; Market-based financial development; Trivariate Granger-causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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