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Fast And Accurate Population Forecasting With Two-Scale Fractal Population Dynamics And Its Application To Population Economics

Author

Listed:
  • YARONG ZHANG

    (School of Science, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an, P. R. China)

  • NAVEED ANJUM

    (��Department of Mathematics, Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan)

  • DAN TIAN

    (School of Science, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an, P. R. China)

  • ABDULRAHMAN ALI ALSOLAMI

    (��Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

One of the major challenges in population economics is accurately predicting population size. Incorrect predictions can lead to ineffective population control policies. Traditional differential models assume a smooth change in population, but this assumption is invalid when measuring population on a small-time scale. To address this change, we developed two-scale fractal population dynamics that can accurately predict population size with minimal experimental data. The Taylor series method is used to reveal the population’s dynamical properties, and the Padé technology is adopted to accelerate the convergence rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Yarong Zhang & Naveed Anjum & Dan Tian & Abdulrahman Ali Alsolami, 2024. "Fast And Accurate Population Forecasting With Two-Scale Fractal Population Dynamics And Its Application To Population Economics," FRACTALS (fractals), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 32(05), pages 1-7.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:fracta:v:32:y:2024:i:05:n:s0218348x24500828
    DOI: 10.1142/S0218348X24500828
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