IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/cjuesx/v03y2015i04ns2345748115500311.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Assessment of Climate-Induced Rural-Urban Migration: Case Study of Ningxia Based on Expert Judgment

Author

Listed:
  • Yan ZHENG

    (Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, MCC Tower, 28 Shuguangxili, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100028, China)

  • Xiaoyu ZHANG

    (Ningxia Institute of Meteorological Sciences, No. 71 West Xinchang Road, Yinchuan, Ningxia 750002, China)

Abstract

Climate change has become an important driving factor for regional migration. This paper projects the crop yields in the typical sub-regions of Ningxia with SRES-A1B climate modeling method, and makes an expert evaluation on future risk of climate-induced migration based on IPCC risk framework. The paper argues that there would be an increasing rural-urban migration flow from the central and southern areas to the northern area of Ningxia in the near future, mainly because of the trend of a decreasing climate carrying capacity and an expanding poverty population in those vulnerable areas to climate change. This paper concludes that well-designed relocation plans would help to facilitate the migration as well as to promote the urbanization in Ningxia, taking into consideration of future climate change scenarios and risk assessment on climate-induced migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan ZHENG & Xiaoyu ZHANG, 2015. "Risk Assessment of Climate-Induced Rural-Urban Migration: Case Study of Ningxia Based on Expert Judgment," Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies (CJUES), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:cjuesx:v:03:y:2015:i:04:n:s2345748115500311
    DOI: 10.1142/S2345748115500311
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2345748115500311
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S2345748115500311?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yan ZHENG & Huixin MENG & Xinlu XIE & Shangbai SHI, 2017. "Dynamics of Climate Change, Drought and Migration: A Mixed Method Research in Ningxia," Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies (CJUES), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(03), pages 1-18, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:cjuesx:v:03:y:2015:i:04:n:s2345748115500311. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/cjues/cjues.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.