IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/apjorx/v34y2017i06ns0217595917500294.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capacity Procurement in Logistics Service Supply Chain with Demand Updating and Rational Expectation Behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Weihua Liu

    (College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, P. R. China)

  • Donglei Zhu

    (College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, P. R. China)

  • Yijia Wang

    (College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, P. R. China)

Abstract

This paper discusses the applicable conditions of two capacity procurement sub-strategies with two ordering opportunities, namely, sub-strategy I in which only increasing purchase quantity is allowed during the second ordering opportunity, and sub-strategy II in which either increasing or reducing order quantities is possible when the second order is placed. Our research is in the context of a logistics service supply chain (LSSC) consisted of a logistics service integrator (LSI) and a functional logistics service provider (FLSP). LSI purchases first a service capacity from FLSP long before demand is realized and then adjusts this ordering quantity based on demand updating. We developed the profit models for LSI and FLSP which also include the constraints of rational expectations. Based on the assumption of Bayesian updating, this paper investigates the conditions for sub-strategy II outperforming sub-strategy I. The main results are verified through numerical analysis. Counter-intuitively, sub-strategy II is not necessarily always better than sub-strategy I. When using sub-strategy II, LSI needs to purchase more service the first time of placing orders, but the expected profits increase for both LSI and FLSP only with certain conditions, which have been derived as propositions in this paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Weihua Liu & Donglei Zhu & Yijia Wang, 2017. "Capacity Procurement in Logistics Service Supply Chain with Demand Updating and Rational Expectation Behavior," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(06), pages 1-48, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:apjorx:v:34:y:2017:i:06:n:s0217595917500294
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217595917500294
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0217595917500294
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0217595917500294?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Haoya & Chen, Jian & Chen, Youhua (Frank), 2006. "A coordination mechanism for a supply chain with demand information updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 347-361, September.
    2. Wei, Yihua & Hu, Qiying & Xu, Chen, 2013. "Ordering, pricing and allocation in a service supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 590-598.
    3. Marshall Fisher & Ananth Raman, 1996. "Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty Through Accurate Response to Early Sales," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 87-99, February.
    4. Hu, Fei & Lim, Cheng-Chew & Lu, Zudi, 2014. "Optimal production and procurement decisions in a supply chain with an option contract and partial backordering under uncertainties," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 232(C), pages 1225-1234.
    5. Satheesh V. Aradhyula & Matthew T. Holt, 1989. "Risk Behavior and Rational Expectations in the U.S. Broiler Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(4), pages 892-902.
    6. Özen, Ulaş & Sošić, Greys & Slikker, Marco, 2012. "A collaborative decentralized distribution system with demand forecast updates," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(3), pages 573-583.
    7. Hing-Ling Lau, Amy & Lau, Hon-Shiang, 1998. "Decision models for single-period products with two ordering opportunities," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 57-70, June.
    8. Haresh Gurnani & Christopher S. Tang, 1999. "Note: Optimal Ordering Decisions with Uncertain Cost and Demand Forecast Updating," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(10), pages 1456-1462, October.
    9. Suresh P. Sethi & Houmin Yan & Hanqin Zhang, 2003. "Inventory Models with Fixed Costs, Forecast Updates, and Two Delivery Modes," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 321-328, April.
    10. Ma, Lijun & Zhao, Yingxue & Xue, Weili & Cheng, T.C.E. & Yan, Houmin, 2012. "Loss-averse newsvendor model with two ordering opportunities and market information updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 912-921.
    11. Meimei Zheng & Yan Shu & Kan Wu, 2015. "On optimal emergency orders with updated demand forecast and limited supply," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 3692-3719, June.
    12. Andy A. Tsay, 1999. "The Quantity Flexibility Contract and Supplier-Customer Incentives," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(10), pages 1339-1358, October.
    13. George R. Murray, Jr. & Edward A. Silver, 1966. "A Bayesian Analysis of the Style Goods Inventory Problem," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 12(11), pages 785-797, July.
    14. Karen L. Donohue, 2000. "Efficient Supply Contracts for Fashion Goods with Forecast Updating and Two Production Modes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(11), pages 1397-1411, November.
    15. Zhou, Yong-Wu & Wang, Sheng-Dong, 2009. "Manufacturer-buyer coordination for newsvendor-type-products with two ordering opportunities and partial backorders," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(3), pages 958-974, November.
    16. Lau, Hon-Shiang & Lau, Amy Hing-Ling, 1997. "Reordering strategies for a newsboy-type product," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(3), pages 557-572, December.
    17. Xuanming Su & Fuqiang Zhang, 2008. "Strategic Customer Behavior, Commitment, and Supply Chain Performance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(10), pages 1759-1773, October.
    18. Wang, Xiaolong & Liu, Liwen, 2007. "Coordination in a retailer-led supply chain through option contract," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1-2), pages 115-127, October.
    19. Weihua Liu & Dong Xie & Yang Liu & Xiaoyan Liu, 2015. "Service capability procurement decision in logistics service supply chain: a research under demand updating and quality guarantee," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 488-510, January.
    20. T-M Choi & D Li & H Yan, 2003. "Optimal two-stage ordering policy with Bayesian information updating," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(8), pages 846-859, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Weihua & Liu, Xiaoyan & Li, Xiang, 2015. "The two-stage batch ordering strategy of logistics service capacity with demand update," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 65-89.
    2. Cheaitou, Ali & van Delft, Christian & Jemai, Zied & Dallery, Yves, 2014. "Optimal policy structure characterization for a two-period dual-sourcing inventory control model with forecast updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 238-249.
    3. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Chow, Pui-Sze, 2008. "Mean-variance analysis of Quick Response Program," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 456-475, August.
    4. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Sethi, Suresh, 2010. "Innovative quick response programs: A review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 1-12, September.
    5. Weihua Liu & Shuqing Wang & DongLei Zhu & Di Wang & Xinran Shen, 2018. "Order allocation of logistics service supply chain with fairness concern and demand updating: model analysis and empirical examination," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 268(1), pages 177-213, September.
    6. Zhou, Yong-Wu & Wang, Sheng-Dong, 2009. "Manufacturer-buyer coordination for newsvendor-type-products with two ordering opportunities and partial backorders," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(3), pages 958-974, November.
    7. Choi, Tsan-Ming, 2007. "Pre-season stocking and pricing decisions for fashion retailers with multiple information updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 146-170, March.
    8. Weihua Liu & Xinran Shen & Di Wang, 2020. "The impacts of dual overconfidence behavior and demand updating on the decisions of port service supply chain: a real case study from China," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 291(1), pages 565-604, August.
    9. Cheaitou, Ali & Cheaytou, Rima, 2019. "A two-stage capacity reservation supply contract with risky supplier and forecast updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 42-60.
    10. Patra, T. Devi Prasad & Jha, J.K., 2021. "A two-period newsvendor model for prepositioning with a post-disaster replenishment using Bayesian demand update," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Choi, Tsan-Ming (Jason) & Li, Duan & Yan, Houmin, 2006. "Quick response policy with Bayesian information updates," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 170(3), pages 788-808, May.
    12. Zhang, Bin & Duan, Dongxia & Ma, Yurui, 2018. "Multi-product expedited ordering with demand forecast updates," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 196-208.
    13. DeYong, Gregory D. & Cattani, Kyle D., 2018. "The unlimited newsvendor: A general solution to a class of two-period newsvendor problems," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 173-192.
    14. Serel, Doğan A., 2012. "Multi-item quick response system with budget constraint," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 235-249.
    15. Choi, Tsan-Ming, 2018. "Incorporating social media observations and bounded rationality into fashion quick response supply chains in the big data era," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 386-397.
    16. Chen, Haoya & Chen, Jian & Chen, Youhua (Frank), 2006. "A coordination mechanism for a supply chain with demand information updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 347-361, September.
    17. Cheaitou, Ali & van Delft, Christian & Dallery, Yves & Jemai, Zied, 2009. "Two-period production planning and inventory control," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 118-130, March.
    18. Khouja, Moutaz & Zhou, Jing, 2017. "An off-price retailer with two ordering opportunities and demand updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 128-138.
    19. DeYong, Gregory D. & Cattani, Kyle D., 2012. "Well adjusted: Using expediting and cancelation to manage store replenishment inventory for a seasonal good," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(1), pages 93-105.
    20. Serel, Dogan A., 2009. "Optimal ordering and pricing in a quick response system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 700-714, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:apjorx:v:34:y:2017:i:06:n:s0217595917500294. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/apjor/apjor.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.