IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/afexxx/v18y2023i03ns2010495223500033.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

From Humble Beginnings to a Global Economic Powerhouse: A Comprehensive Study of India’s Economic Development Through the Lens of Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (1990–2020)

Author

Listed:
  • Rachana Jaiswal

    (Department of Business Management, HNB Garhwal (A Central) University, Srinagar, Uttarakhand 249161, India)

Abstract

Amidst the tumultuous COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict, India has defied the odds and exhibited remarkable consistency in its macroeconomic performance, surpassing other top 10 global economies. This laudable progress was made even in the aftermath of significant prior disruptions. Therefore, the objective of this research paper is to meticulously scrutinize the macroeconomic determinants that impacted India’s economic growth from 1990 to 2020. The data utilized was sourced from the Reserve Bank of India, and a time series econometric technique was employed to identify stationary and its co-integration using an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. This study exhaustively investigates the impact of five macroeconomic indicators, exports, imports, gross capital formation, gross savings, and gross inflow, which propel economic growth. Our findings unequivocally demonstrate that exports, gross capital formation, gross savings, and gross inflows have an indisputably positive and significant effect on India’s economic growth in the short and long run. However, imports negatively impact both the short and long runs. Other macroeconomic variables could not be comprehensively covered due to the absence of relevant data. Nevertheless, this study confers novel insights to policymakers and researchers alike by examining both the short-run and long-run dynamics and employing the Wald test to provide a profound understanding of the macroeconomic determinants indispensable for realizing sustainable economic growth. To the best of the author’s knowledge, this study constitutes a pioneering and original endeavor that undertakes a comprehensive and nuanced examination of economic growth by analyzing multiple macroeconomic indicators simultaneously, thereby providing a holistic and multifaceted understanding of the complex phenomenon of economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Rachana Jaiswal, 2023. "From Humble Beginnings to a Global Economic Powerhouse: A Comprehensive Study of India’s Economic Development Through the Lens of Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (1990–2020)," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(03), pages 1-42, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:afexxx:v:18:y:2023:i:03:n:s2010495223500033
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010495223500033
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2010495223500033
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S2010495223500033?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; GDP; ARDL approach; time series analysis; economic indicators;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B26 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Financial Economics
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:afexxx:v:18:y:2023:i:03:n:s2010495223500033. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/afe/afe.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.