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Predictability Of Chaos Inherent In The Occurrence Of Severe Thunderstorms

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  • SUTAPA CHAUDHURI

    (Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Calcutta, 51/2 Hazra Road, Kolkata – 700 019, India)

Abstract

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the existence of deterministic chaos in the time series of occurrence or non-occurrence of severe thunderstorms of the pre-monsoon season over the Northeastern part of India. Results from the current study reveal the existence of chaos in the relevant time series. The corresponding predictabilities are also computed quantitatively. The study recommends that the formulation of numerical weather prediction models for forecasting the occurrence of this high frequency meso-scale convective system must take into account the intrinsic chaos.

Suggested Citation

  • Sutapa Chaudhuri, 2006. "Predictability Of Chaos Inherent In The Occurrence Of Severe Thunderstorms," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01n02), pages 77-85.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:acsxxx:v:09:y:2006:i:01n02:n:s0219525906000689
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219525906000689
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    Cited by:

    1. Debanjana Das & Sutapa Chaudhuri, 2014. "Remote sensing and ground-based observations for nowcasting the category of thunderstorms based on peak wind speed over an urban station of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 1743-1757, December.
    2. Baranowski, Piotr & Gos, Magdalena & Krzyszczak, Jaromir & Siwek, Krzysztof & Kieliszek, Adam & Tkaczyk, Przemysław, 2019. "Multifractality of meteorological time series for Poland on the base of MERRA-2 data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 318-333.
    3. Surajit Chattopadhyay & Goutami Chattopadhyay & Subrata Kumar Midya, 2018. "Shannon entropy maximization supplemented by neurocomputing to study the consequences of a severe weather phenomenon on some surface parameters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 237-247, August.

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