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A Probit Analysis of Best Ratings

Author

Listed:
  • Raja Bouzluita
  • Arthur J. Young

Abstract

In 1991, the A.M. Best Company changed the schedules and procedures for assigning ratings to property-liability insurers. An explanation of this change is of interest to consumers, regulators, and management. This study uses ordered probit to test for a downshift in the average ratings. The results of the analysis show that there has been a movement toward lower ratings and that the return on surplus is more important with the new ratings. The results are robust with respect to alternative estimation procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Raja Bouzluita & Arthur J. Young, 1998. "A Probit Analysis of Best Ratings," Journal of Insurance Issues, Western Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 21(1), pages 23-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:wri:journl:v:21:y:1998:i:1:p:23-34
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    File URL: http://www.insuranceissues.org/PDFs/212BY.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Suhail Rizwan & Asifa Obaid & Dawood Ashraf, 2017. "The Impact of Corporate Social Responsibility on Default Risk: Empirical evidence from US Firms," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 9(3), pages 36-70, September.
    2. Jan Janku & Ondrej Badura, 2021. "Non-linear Effects of Market Concentration on the Underwriting Profitability of the Non-life Insurance Sector in Europe," Working Papers 2021/9, Czech National Bank.
    3. Mike Adams & Bruce Burton & Philip Hardwick, 2003. "The Determinants of Credit Ratings in the United Kingdom Insurance Industry," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3‐4), pages 539-572, April.
    4. Patrycja Chodnicka -Jaworska & Piotr Jaworski, 2019. "Insurance Companies – What Determinates Their Credit Ratings," Faculty of Management Working Paper Series 52019, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management.
    5. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp1591 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ignacio Moreno & Purificación Parrado‐Martínez & Antonio Trujillo‐Ponce, 2020. "Economic crisis and determinants of solvency in the insurance sector: new evidence from Spain," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2965-2994, September.
    7. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Mario Cerrato & Xuan Zhang, 2016. "Analysing the Determinants of Credit Risk for General Insurance Firms in the UK," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1591, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Jaspreet Kaur & Madhu Vij & Ajay Kumar Chauhan, 2023. "Signals influencing corporate credit ratings—a systematic literature review," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 50(1), pages 91-114, March.
    9. Jill Bisco & Kathleen McCullough, 2017. "Retained Asset Accounts and Creditor Reactions to an A.M. Best Change," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 277-307, December.
    10. Jassem Alokla & Arief Daynes & Paraskevas Pagas & Panagiotis Tzouvanas, 2023. "Solvency determinants: evidence from the Takaful insurance industry," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 847-871, October.
    11. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Cerrato, Mario & Zhang, Xuan, 2017. "Analysing the determinants of insolvency risk for general insurance firms in the UK," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 107-122.
    12. Patrycja Chodnicka-Jaworska, 2021. "ESG as a Measure of Credit Ratings," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-26, December.
    13. Mario Cerrato & Paolo Coccorese & Xuan Zhang, 2020. "The Informational Content of Default Risk in UK Insurance Firms," Working Papers 2020_06, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    14. Md Abdul Wasi & Thu Phuong Pham & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2023. "Bank systemic risk: An analysis of the sovereign rating ceiling policy and rating downgrades," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1-2), pages 411-440, January.

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