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Reaching energy autonomy in a medium‐sized city – three scenarios to model possible future energy developments in the residential building sector

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  • Claudia Dobler
  • Dominik Pfeifer
  • Wolfgang Streicher

Abstract

A city energy model was developed to demonstrate possible future trajectories for the residential building sector up until 2050 for the city of Innsbruck in Austria, a medium‐sized city in the Austrian Alps. It examines final and delivered energy, respectively, from a demand side perspective. Three different scenarios are defined to illustrate the range of future developments in the residential building sector (scenario analysis). The base scenario 1 represents a continuation of recent trends (business‐as‐usual). The middle course scenario 2 is characterized by stricter thermal standards for the building envelope and a beginning of withdrawal from fossil fuels from 2031. The target scenario 3 objective is specified as a 50% reduction in delivered energy and a complete transition to renewable energies by 2050. Scenario 3 differs from scenario 2 primarily in the aspect of an earlier implementation date for certain measures, for example, the beginning of the withdrawal from fossil fuels is scheduled for 2021.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudia Dobler & Dominik Pfeifer & Wolfgang Streicher, 2018. "Reaching energy autonomy in a medium‐sized city – three scenarios to model possible future energy developments in the residential building sector," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 859-869, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:26:y:2018:i:6:p:859-869
    DOI: 10.1002/sd.1855
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    Cited by:

    1. Yongchun Huang & Chengmeng Chen & Dejin Su & Shangshuo Wu, 2020. "Comparison of leading‐industrialisation and crossing‐industrialisation economic growth patterns in the context of sustainable development: Lessons from China and India," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 1077-1085, September.
    2. Anna Claudelin & Ville Uusitalo & Ilona Hintukainen & Anna Kuokkanen & Paavo Tertsunen & Maija Leino & Lassi Linnanen, 2020. "Increasing positive climate impact by combining anti‐consumption and consumption changes with impact investing," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(6), pages 1689-1701, November.
    3. Lisardo Prieto González & Anna Fensel & Juan Miguel Gómez Berbís & Angela Popa & Antonio de Amescua Seco, 2021. "A Survey on Energy Efficiency in Smart Homes and Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-16, November.

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