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Estimating Local Welfare Generated by an NFL Team under Credible Threat of Relocation

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  • Aju J. Fenn
  • John R. Crooker

Abstract

This study offers the opportunity to examine the welfare contribution of the Minnesota Vikings to Minnesota households in the context of a credible threat of team relocation. We find the credibility of the threat of relocation is essential to providing unbiased estimates of welfare. This study utilizes contingent valuation methodology (CVM) and a random utility model (RUM) to analyze Minnesotans' decision‐making mechanisms for supporting a new stadium initiative. While previous studies have attempted to measure the welfare associated with a sports franchise, we develop and discuss bias that may be imparted to estimates when the researcher fails to calculate a “choke price.” Further, we develop an unbiased approach to identify welfare when respondents perceive a risk of losing the franchise. The range of welfare contribution by the Vikings to households in Minnesota is $;445.3 million to $;1,571.3 million according to a 95% confidence interval based on our study.

Suggested Citation

  • Aju J. Fenn & John R. Crooker, 2009. "Estimating Local Welfare Generated by an NFL Team under Credible Threat of Relocation," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 76(1), pages 198-223, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:soecon:v:76:y:2009:i:1:p:198-223
    DOI: 10.4284/sej.2009.76.1.198
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    Cited by:

    1. John C. Whitehead & Bruce K. Johnson & Daniel S. Mason & Gordon J. Walker, 2013. "Consumption Benefits Of National Hockey League Game Trips Estimated From Revealed And Stated Preference Demand Data," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 1012-1025, January.
    2. Sepulveda, Cristian F., 2023. "Cost–Benefit Analysis of an “Average” Professional Sports Team or Stadium in the United States," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 451-477, October.
    3. Chikish, Yulia & Humphreys, Brad R. & Nowak, Adam, 2019. "Sports Arenas, Teams and Property Values: Temporary and Permanent Shocks to Local Amenity Flows," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 49(1), February.
    4. O. Ashton Morgan & John C. Whitehead, 2018. "Willingness to Pay for Soccer Player Development in the United States," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 19(2), pages 279-296, February.
    5. Brad R. Humphreys & Bruce K. Johnson & Daniel S. Mason & John C. Whitehead, 2018. "Estimating the Value of Medal Success in the Olympic Games," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 19(3), pages 398-416, April.
    6. Luke Petach & Dustin Rumbaugh, 2021. "Are You Ready for Some Football? Estimating the Effect of American Football Season on Labor Supply in the United States," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 22(8), pages 893-920, December.
    7. John Charles Bradbury, 2022. "Does hosting a professional sports team benefit the local community? Evidence from property assessments," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 219-252, December.
    8. Michael C. Davis & Christian M. End, 2011. "Team Success, Productivity and Economic Impact," Chapters, in: Plácido Rodríguez & Stefan Késenne & Brad R. Humphreys (ed.), The Economics of Sport, Health and Happiness, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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