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Exchange Rate Sensitivity of U.S. Trade Flows: Evidence from Industry Data

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  • Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee
  • Zohre Ardalani

Abstract

Previous research that investigated the relation between U.S. trade flows and the value of the dollar either employed trade data between the United States and the rest of the world or between the United States and her major trading partners. In this paper we use monthly import and export data from 66 industries in the United States SITC Commodity Groupings over the January 1991‐August 2002 period as well as cointegration analysis and show that in the long run real depreciation of the dollar stimulates export earnings of many U.S. industries, whereas it has no significant impact on most importing industries.

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  • Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Zohre Ardalani, 2006. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of U.S. Trade Flows: Evidence from Industry Data," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 72(3), pages 542-559, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:soecon:v:72:y:2006:i:3:p:542-559
    DOI: 10.1002/j.2325-8012.2006.tb00719.x
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    1. Makoto Shimizu & Joon‐Heon Song, 2022. "Effects of exchange rates and invoiced currencies on trade: Evidence from South Korea," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1997-2031, June.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Ali Nasir, 2021. "On the asymmetric effects of exchange‐rate volatility on trade flows: Evidence from US–UK Commodity Trade," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(1), pages 51-102, February.
    3. Alper YILMAZ, 2024. "Bilateral J-Curve Between Türkiye and Its Major Non-EU Trading Partners: Evidence from Both Linear and Non-Linear Approach," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 32(60).
    4. Anmar Pretorius & Heinrich Nel, 2018. "Disentangling the exchange rate risk, sectoral export flows and financial development nexus," Working Papers 733, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    5. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Ridha Nouira & Sami Saafi, 2023. "Whose policy uncertainty affects commodity trade between Australia and the United States?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(1), pages 101-123, March.
    6. Jungho Baek & Jee Hee Yoon, 2023. "The Korea‐Vietnam trade and the bilateral exchange rate: Asymmetric evidence from commodity trade data," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(1), pages 124-148, March.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Ridha Nouira & Sami Saafi, 2023. "Whose policy uncertainty affects trade flows between Japan and the U.S.?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(3), pages 457-485, September.

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