Landsat Analysis of Terraced Thermokarst Lake Variability on Alaska's Coastal Plain

Thermokarst lakes are abundant across the Arctic landscape. Although they are largely understood to form due to thawing permafrost and subsidence, these lakes exist in a variety of forms, shapes, and sizes. Some lakes across the Arctic exhibit shallow subaqueous terraces. The terraces have previously been shown to maintain permafrost beneath them due to the presence of bedfast ice during most of the year, whereas a talik develops beneath the deeper central pool. However, the formation of these terraces and their prevalence across the Arctic are currently unknown. In this study, we mapped the locations of thermokarst lakes and their terraces in the Alaska coastal plain using Landsat imagery. We found that terraces are larger and more abundant in sandy deposits, occupying an average of 40% of the lake area, compared to 20% of the lake area in non‐sandy lithologies. Terraces are most often found on the eastern and western lake shorelines, likely associated with regional wind directions, forming on the long sides of northwest–southeast oriented lakes. We propose a conceptual model for terrace formation in sandy deposits that describes the growth of shallow littoral shelves that protect the eastern and western shorelines from erosion while allowing lake extension in the northwest and southeast directions. Finally, given the close association between bedfast ice, talik extent, and the shallow subaqueous terraces, we suggest that mapping of these relatively stable terraces may provide insights about talik extent across the Arctic coastal region. Continued warming and changes to lake ice regimes are likely to increase talik extent, which may be easily observable by temporal analysis of terrace abundance and extent in widely available remotely sensed imagery.