Spatio‐Temporal Variation in High‐Centre Polygons and Ice‐Wedge Melt Ponds, Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands, Northwest Territories

High‐centred polygonal terrain is a widespread feature of Arctic landscapes that is sensitive to increasing ground temperatures because of its high ground‐ice content. Understanding spatial variation in the distribution and sensitivity of high‐centred polygonal terrain is important for predicting landscape change. In the Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands, Northwest Territories, Canada, mean annual ground temperatures in permafrost have increased between 1 and 2°C over the last 40 years and high‐centred polygonal terrain comprises about 10 per cent of the terrestrial landscape. To investigate factors affecting the distribution and potential degradation of ice wedges, we mapped high‐centred polygonal terrain and ice‐wedge melt ponds, and documented ice wedge related thermokarst at anthropogenic disturbances using 2004 aerial photographs. Historical melt pond distribution was assessed using 1972 aerial photographs. The density of polygonal terrain (up to 37%) was significantly higher in the northern than the southern part of the study area, where more abundant lacustrine sediments and lower ground temperatures have favoured ice‐wedge development. Larger proportional melt pond area (0.68%), increases in pond area (up to 3.74%) and a higher frequency of major thermokarst activity following anthropogenic surface disturbance (54%) suggest that high‐centred polygonal terrain in the northern part of the study area is more susceptible to degradation than in the southern part. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.