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Efficient generation of cycle time‐throughput curves through simulation and metamodeling

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  • Feng Yang
  • Bruce Ankenman
  • Barry L. Nelson

Abstract

A cycle time‐throughput (CT‐TH) curve, which quantifies the relationship of long‐run average cycle time to throughput rate, plays an important role in strategic planning for manufacturing systems. In this paper, a nonlinear regression metamodel supported by queueing theory is developed to represent the underlying CT‐TH curve implied by a manufacturing simulation model. To estimate the model efficiently, simulation experiments are built up sequentially using a multistage procedure. Extensive numerical experiments are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed procedure. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007

Suggested Citation

  • Feng Yang & Bruce Ankenman & Barry L. Nelson, 2007. "Efficient generation of cycle time‐throughput curves through simulation and metamodeling," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 78-93, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:54:y:2007:i:1:p:78-93
    DOI: 10.1002/nav.20188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. W C M van Beers & J P C Kleijnen, 2003. "Kriging for interpolation in random simulation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(3), pages 255-262, March.
    2. Russell C. H. Cheng & Jack P. C. Kleijnen, 1999. "Improved Design of Queueing Simulation Experiments with Highly Heteroscedastic Responses," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 47(5), pages 762-777, October.
    3. Sungmin Park & John W. Fowler & Gerald T. Mackulak & J. Bert Keats & W. Matthew Carlyle, 2002. "D-Optimal Sequential Experiments for Generating a Simulation-Based Cycle Time-Throughput Curve," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 50(6), pages 981-990, December.
    4. Ward Whitt, 1989. "Planning Queueing Simulations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(11), pages 1341-1366, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto & Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "Capacity restrictions and supply chain performance: Modelling and analysing load-dependent lead times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 264-277.
    2. Qiyun Pan & Eunshin Byon & Young Myoung Ko & Henry Lam, 2020. "Adaptive importance sampling for extreme quantile estimation with stochastic black box computer models," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(7), pages 524-547, October.
    3. Ghadimi, Foad & Aouam, Tarik, 2021. "Planning capacity and safety stocks in a serial production–distribution system with multiple products," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 533-552.
    4. Feng Yang & Bruce E. Ankenman & Barry L. Nelson, 2008. "Estimating Cycle Time Percentile Curves for Manufacturing Systems via Simulation," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 20(4), pages 628-643, November.

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