IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/navlog/v8y1961i1p25-40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A model for evaluating the output of intelligence systems

Author

Listed:
  • W. V. Caldwell
  • C. H. Coombs
  • R. M. Thrall
  • M. S. Schoeffler
  • Murray Hill

Abstract

A large‐scale experiment was designed to obtain the intuitive evaluations of intelligence reports from a large group of experienced Army officers. An interval scale of quality of the intelligence reports was constructed with a view to providing some mathematical models that describe in a simple fashion the way in which the components of an intelligence report combine to determine the value of the report. The results of the study indicate (a) that officers judge such intelligence reports consistently, (b) that they use criteria in judging intelligence estimates different from those they use in judging courses of action, and (c) that the judgments depend to some extent on the combat experience of the officer. The different techniques of obtaining rating scales were found to produce essentially the same results.

Suggested Citation

  • W. V. Caldwell & C. H. Coombs & R. M. Thrall & M. S. Schoeffler & Murray Hill, 1961. "A model for evaluating the output of intelligence systems," Naval Research Logistics Quarterly, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(1), pages 25-40, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:navlog:v:8:y:1961:i:1:p:25-40
    DOI: 10.1002/nav.3800080103
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800080103
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/nav.3800080103?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:navlog:v:8:y:1961:i:1:p:25-40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1931-9193 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.