Transportation problems with aggregated destinations when demands are uncertain

Transportation problems with uncertain demands are useful applied models themselves, and also they represent in a formal way the problem of estimating demands for use in deterministic models. We consider the effects of using a small, aggregate model of this type in place of a larger, more detailed one. Formulation of the aggregate objective function turns out to depend on how one chooses to use (disaggregate) the solution; several alternative methods are examined. Bounds are derived on the error induced by the approximation, thus facilitating comparison of alternative aggregations. We also consider the problem of estimating demands for an aggregate‐level deterministic problem. In a specific sense, it is often not the case (as one might expect) that such aggregate demands are easier to estimate than the detailed demands. This is because aggregation and centralization are not the same thing.