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Fertility and Modernization: The Role of Urbanization in Developing Countries

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  • Thomas Gries
  • Rainer Grundmann

Abstract

We empirically investigate the theoretically predicted change in human reproductive behavior in developing countries alongside modernization. Using urbanization as a modernization indicator is appealing and provides a large sample size in both countries and years covered. However, recent research on the causes of urbanization demands a refined view of the phenomenon. We therefore base our analysis on qualified urbanization, namely interactions with slum incidence and export diversification. In panel regressions we find evidence that the impact on fertility differs significantly in lower than in higher quality urbanization processes, suggesting that the presence of skill†intensive jobs is crucial in the interplay. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Gries & Rainer Grundmann, 2018. "Fertility and Modernization: The Role of Urbanization in Developing Countries," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 493-506, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:30:y:2018:i:3:p:493-506
    DOI: 10.1002/jid.3104
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    Cited by:

    1. Yani Lai & Lin Jiang & Xiaoxiao Xu, 2021. "Exploring Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Urban Village Redevelopment: The Case of Shenzhen, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-26, September.
    2. Joe F. Bozeman & Shauhrat S. Chopra & Philip James & Sajjad Muhammad & Hua Cai & Kangkang Tong & Maya Carrasquillo & Harold Rickenbacker & Destenie Nock & Weslynne Ashton & Oliver Heidrich & Sybil Der, 2023. "Three research priorities for just and sustainable urban systems: Now is the time to refocus," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 27(2), pages 382-394, April.
    3. I-Fang Cheng & Che-Jen Su & Hsin-Hsing Liao & Nicolas Lorgnier & Anne-Marie Lebrun & Wen-Shen Yen & Yi-Fang Lan & Yingfang Huang, 2019. "Adolescents’ perceptions of mother–father dominance in family vacation decisions: a 25-society study," Service Business, Springer;Pan-Pacific Business Association, vol. 13(4), pages 755-778, December.
    4. Dogan Hatun & David F. Warner, 2022. "Disentangling the Roles of Modernization and Secularization on Fertility: The Case of Turkey," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(3), pages 1161-1189, June.
    5. Mohammed Musah & Yusheng Kong & Isaac Adjei Mensah & Stephen Kwadwo Antwi & Mary Donkor, 2021. "The connection between urbanization and carbon emissions: a panel evidence from West Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 11525-11552, August.
    6. Yue Wu & Dong-Shang Chang, 2024. "Decomposing the comprehensive efficiency of major cities into divisions on governance, ICT and sustainability: network slack-based measure model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Peng Wang & Zinan Shao & Jian Wang & Qun Wu, 2021. "The impact of land finance on urban land use efficiency: A panel threshold model for Chinese provinces," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 310-331, March.
    8. Gao, Xin & Zhang, Anlu & Sun, Zhanli, 2020. "How regional economic integration influence on urban land use efficiency? A case study of Wuhan metropolitan area, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Loae Fakhri Jdetawy, 2020. "Readings in the Jordanian Arabic dialectology," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 12(1), pages 401-430, October.

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