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Dealing with downside risk in a multi‐commodity setting: A case for a “Texas hedge”?

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  • Gabriel J. Power
  • Dmitry Vedenov

Abstract

This study analyzes the problem of multi‐commodity hedging from the downside risk perspective. The lower partial moments (LPM 2 )‐minimizing hedge ratios for the stylized hedging problem of a typical Texas panhandle feedlot operator are calculated and compared with hedge ratios implied by the conventional minimum‐variance (MV) criterion. A kernel copula is used to model the joint distributions of cash and futures prices for commodities included in the model. The results are consistent with the findings in the single‐commodity case in that the MV approach leads to over‐hedging relative to the LPM 2 ‐based hedge. An interesting and somewhat unexpected result is that minimization of a downside risk criterion in a multi‐commodity setting may lead to a “Texas hedge” (i.e. speculation) being an optimal strategy for at least one commodity. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:290–304, 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel J. Power & Dmitry Vedenov, 2010. "Dealing with downside risk in a multi‐commodity setting: A case for a “Texas hedge”?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 290-304, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:30:y:2010:i:3:p:290-304
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Pan & Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2017. "Is hedging the crack spread no longer all it's cracked up to be?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 31-40.
    2. Dionne, Georges & El Hraiki, Rayane & Mnasri, Mohamed, 2023. "Determinants and real effects of joint hedging: An empirical analysis of US oil and gas producers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    3. Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2023. "Who's afraid of a Texas hedge?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    4. Fei, Chengcheng & Vedenov, Dmitry & Stevens, Reid B. & Anderson, David, 2021. "Single-Commodity vs. Joint Hedging in Cattle Feeding Cycle: Is Joint Hedging Always Essential?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 46(3), September.
    5. Arunanondchai, Panit & Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2020. "Dealing with tail risk in energy commodity markets: Futures contracts versus exchange-traded funds," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    6. Ahmedov, Zafarbek & Woodard, Joshua D., 2012. "Do RIN Mandates and Blender's Tax Credit Affect Blenders' Hedging Strategies?," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124980, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Dionne, Georges & El Hraiki, Rayane & Mnasri, Mohamed, 2022. "Determinants and real effects of joint hedging: An empirical analysis of the US petroleum industry," Working Papers 22-4, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
    8. Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2022. "We don't need no fancy hedges! Or do we?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2017. "Hedging downside risk of oil refineries: A vine copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 493-507.

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