IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v24y2004i3p221-250.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Common risk factors in the U.S. and UK interest rate swap markets: Evidence from a nonlinear vector autoregression approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ilias Lekkos
  • Costas Milas

Abstract

This paper produces evidence in support of the existence of common risk factors in the U.S. and UK interest rate swap markets. Using a multivariate smooth transition autoregression (STVAR) framework, we show that the dynamics of the U.S. and UK swap spreads are best described by a regime‐switching model. We identify the existence of two distinct regimes in U.S. and UK swap spreads; one is characterized by a “flat” term structure of U.S. interest rates and the other is characterized by an “upward” sloping U.S. term structure. In addition, we show that there exist significant asymmetries on the impact of the common risk factors on the U.S. and UK swap spreads. Shocks to UK oriented risk factors have a strong effect on the U.S. swap markets during the “flat” slope regime but a very limited effect otherwise. On the other hand, U.S. risk factors have a significant impact on the UK swap markets in both regimes. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 24:221–250, 2004

Suggested Citation

  • Ilias Lekkos & Costas Milas, 2004. "Common risk factors in the U.S. and UK interest rate swap markets: Evidence from a nonlinear vector autoregression approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 221-250, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:24:y:2004:i:3:p:221-250
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Shaoyu & Zhu, Chunhui & Shang, Yuhuang, 2023. "Hedging demand and near-zero swap spreads: Evidence from the Chinese interest rate swap market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 170-185.
    2. Ilias Lekkos & Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2007. "Forecasting interest rate swap spreads using domestic and international risk factors: evidence from linear and non-linear models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(8), pages 601-619.
    3. Kenneth A. Tah, 2022. "Determinants of Interest rate swap spreads: A quantile regression approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 522-534, July.
    4. Nechi, Salem & Smaoui, Houcem Eddine, 2019. "Interbank offered rates in Islamic countries: Is the Islamic benchmark different from the conventional benchmarks?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 75-84.
    5. Ying Huang & Carl R. Chen, 2007. "The effect of Fed monetary policy regimes on the US interest rate swap spreads," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(4), pages 375-399.
    6. Sohel Azad, A.S.M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor & Wickramanayake, Jayasinghe, 2015. "International swap market contagion and volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 355-371.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:24:y:2004:i:3:p:221-250. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.