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The determinants of bid‐ask spreads in the foreign exchange futures market: A microstructure analysis

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  • David K. Ding

Abstract

This paper investigates and analyzes the intraday and daily determinants of bid‐ask spreads (BASs) in the foreign exchange futures (FXF) market. It is found that the number of transactions and the volatility of FXF prices are the major determinants. The number of transactions is negatively related to the BAS, whereas volatility in general is positively related to it. The study also finds that there are economies of scale in trading FXF contracts. The intraday BAS follows a U‐shaped pattern, and they tend to be higher on Mondays and Tuesdays than on other days of the week. Higher spreads at the beginning and end of a trading day are consistent with the presence of adverse selection and the avoidance of the possibility of carrying undesirable inventory overnight, respectively. Seasonal differences in BASs that are related to the delivery date of a contract are also found. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 19: 307–324, 1999

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  • David K. Ding, 1999. "The determinants of bid‐ask spreads in the foreign exchange futures market: A microstructure analysis," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 307-324, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:19:y:1999:i:3:p:307-324
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    Cited by:

    1. Mingshu Hua & Chen-Yu Li, 2011. "The intraday bid-ask spread behaviour of the JPY/USD exchange rate in the EBS electronic brokerage system," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(16), pages 2003-2013.
    2. Liu, Qingfu & Hua, Renhai & An, Yunbi, 2016. "Determinants and information content of intraday bid-ask spreads: Evidence from Chinese commodity futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 135-148.
    3. Ai Jun Hou & Lars L. Nordén & Caihong Xu, 2024. "Futures trading costs and market microstructure invariance: Identifying bet activity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 901-922, June.
    4. Manoj Dalvi & James Refalo & Golak Nath, 2010. "The effect of settlement regimes on trading cost and market efficiency: evidence from the National Stock Exchange," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 119-130.
    5. Ranaldo, Angelo & Somogyi, Fabricius, 2021. "Asymmetric information risk in FX markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 391-411.
    6. Rahman, Abdurrahman Arum, 2020. "Organic global cryptocurrency:towards a stable international monetary system that is closer to Maqasid Sharıʿah," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 28, pages 63-82.
    7. Angelo Ranaldo & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2018. "Trading Volume, Illiquidity and Commonalities in FX Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1823, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Oct 2019.
    8. Banti, Chiara & Phylaktis, Kate, 2015. "FX market liquidity, funding constraints and capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 114-134.
    9. Barry A. Goss & S. Gulay Avsar, 2016. "Can Economists Forecast Exchange Rates? The Debate Re-Visited: The Case of the USD/GBP Market," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 14-28, March.
    10. Henao-Londono, Juan C. & Guhr, Thomas, 2022. "Foreign exchange markets: Price response and spread impact," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    11. Juan Camilo Henao Londono & Thomas Guhr, 2021. "Foreign exchange markets: price response and spread impact," Papers 2104.09309, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    12. Hua, Mingshu, 2009. "A study on foreign exchange dealers' bid-ask spread quote behavior," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 506-523, September.
    13. Yuanyuan Xu & Chongguang Li, 2018. "Liquidity of the Chinese Agricultural Futures Market and Its Impact on Futures Price—Based on High-Frequency Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, December.
    14. Alex Frino & Dionigi Gerace & Masud Behnia, 2021. "The impact of algorithmic trading on liquidity in futures markets: New insights into the resiliency of spreads and depth," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1301-1314, August.

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