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What does unconventional monetary policy do to stock markets in the euro area?

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  • Tarek Chebbi

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of the European Central Bank's unconventional monetary surprises on major European stock markets. Three measures for surprises are used: (a) the change in domestic 10‐year government bond yields, (b) the change in the spread between German and Italian (Spanish) 10‐year bond yields, and (c) the change in yields of a safe euro‐denominated asset, such as German bonds. I show that unconventional monetary policy surprises significantly influence stock returns. For instance, monetary decisions that cause a decrease in Italian (Spanish) sovereign spread led to an increase in the stock returns. In addition, I find that a positively surprising shock—a fall in the domestic bond yield and an increase in German interest rates—leads to higher stock returns. Finally, sovereign spreads seemed to have larger effects on stock returns both during crisis and postcrisis years.

Suggested Citation

  • Tarek Chebbi, 2019. "What does unconventional monetary policy do to stock markets in the euro area?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 391-411, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:24:y:2019:i:1:p:391-411
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1669
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    Cited by:

    1. Tarek Chebbi & Waleed Hmedat, 2024. "Inventory information arrival and the crude oil futures market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1513-1533, April.
    2. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 42-52.
    3. Óscar Gutiérrez, 2021. "Real options and the perverse effect of interest rates on investment timing," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3984-3996, July.
    4. Ecenur Ugurlu‐Yildirim & Baris Kocaarslan & Beyza M. Ordu‐Akkaya, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty, investor sentiment, and US stock market performance: New evidence from nonlinear cointegration analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1724-1738, April.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 365-381, July.
    6. Prabheesh, K. P. & Kumar, Sanjiv, 2022. "How Do the Financial Markets Respond to Emerging Economies’ Asset Purchase Program? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis," ADBI Working Papers 1314, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    7. Tarek Chebbi, 2021. "The response of precious metal futures markets to unconventional monetary surprises in the presence of uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1897-1916, April.
    8. Nektarios A. Michail & Kyriaki G. LouKa, 2023. "The inefficiency of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2023-3, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    9. Nikolaos Petrakis & Christos Lemonakis & Christos Floros & Constantin Zopounidis, 2022. "Greek Banking Sector Stock Reaction to ECB’s Monetary Policy Interventions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, October.
    10. Dong, Weijia & Lien, Donald & Lv, Xin & Tan, Chaosheng, 2021. "The cross-border impacts of China’s official rate shocks on stock returns of Chinese concepts shares listed on U.S. market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1305-1322.

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