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The Identification of Beliefs From Asset Demand

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  • Felix Kübler
  • Herakles Polemarchakis

Abstract

The demand for assets as prices and initial wealth vary identifies beliefs and attitudes towards risk. We derive conditions that guarantee identification with no knowledge either of the cardinal utility index (attitudes towards risk) or of the distribution of future endowments or payoffs of assets; the argument applies even if the asset market is incomplete and demand is observed only locally.

Suggested Citation

  • Felix Kübler & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2017. "The Identification of Beliefs From Asset Demand," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1219-1238, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:85:y:2017:i::p:1219-1238
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert J. Shiller, 2015. "Irrational Exuberance," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 3, number 10421.
    2. Philip Dybvig & Heraklis Polemarchakis, 1981. "Recovering Cardinal Utility," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 48(1), pages 159-166.
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    3. Kubler, Felix & Selden, Larry & Wei, Xiao, 2020. "Incomplete market demand tests for Kreps-Porteus-Selden preferences," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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