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The impact of preferential trade agreements on the duration of antidumping protection

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  • Min Zhu
  • Thomas J. Prusa

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of preferential trade agreements on the duration of antidumping protection. We employ a two‐step selection model where the first step accounts for the impact of membership in a preferential trade agreement on the original antidumping determination and the second step estimates the impact of membership in a preferential trade agreement on the duration of the measures. We find the duration of antidumping protection is about 17% shorter for preferential trade agreement members compared with targeted countries that are not preferential trade agreement members. The impact on duration depends largely on whether preferential trade agreements have rules related specifically to antidumping. Preferential trade agreements with rules are associated with a 28% reduction in the duration of protection, whereas the duration for preferential trade agreements without rules is not statistically different from the duration for non‐preferential trade agreement countries. While the duration of antidumping measures against China is longer than for other countries, the impact of preferential trade agreement rules is robust to controlling for China. L'effet des accords commerciaux préférentiels (ACP) sur la durée des mesures de protection antidumping. Cet article examine l'effet des accords commerciaux préférentiels (ACP) sur la durée des mesures de protection antidumping. Nous utilisons un modèle de sélection en deux étapes, où la première étape tient compte de l'effet de l'adhésion à un ACP sur la détermination initiale des mesures antidumping et où la deuxième estime l'effet de l'adhésion à un ACP sur la durée de ces mesures. Nous constatons que la durée des mesures de protection antidumping est environ 17% plus courte pour les membres d'un ACP comparativement aux pays cibles qui ne sont pas membres de tels accords. L'effet sur la durée dépend grandement du fait que les ACP disposent ou non de règles visant particulièrement les mesures antidumping. Les ACP ayant des règles sont associés à une réduction de 28% de la durée de mesures de protection, tandis que la durée pour les ACP sans règles n'est pas statistiquement différente de la durée pour les pays non membres d'ACP. Même si la durée des mesures antidumping appliquées à la Chine est plus longue que pour les autres pays, les répercussions des règles des ACP sont robustes pour contrôler la Chine.

Suggested Citation

  • Min Zhu & Thomas J. Prusa, 2023. "The impact of preferential trade agreements on the duration of antidumping protection," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(2), pages 553-592, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:canjec:v:56:y:2023:i:2:p:553-592
    DOI: 10.1111/caje.12652
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