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Taking Sides in Other People’s Elections: The Polarizing Effect of Foreign Intervention

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  • Daniel Corstange
  • Nikolay Marinov

Abstract

What do voters think when outside powers become de facto participants in a country’s election? We conceptualize two types of foreign intervention: a partisan stance, where the outsider roots for a particular candidate slate, and a process stance, where outsiders support the democratic process. We theorize that a partisan outside message will polarize partisan actors domestically on the issue of appropriate relations with the outsiders: partisans who are supported will want closer relations with the outside power, and partisans who are opposed will favor more distant relations. A process message, in contrast, will have a moderating effect on voters’ attitudes. We present evidence of partisan polarization along those lines from a survey experiment we conducted in Lebanon in the wake of the 2009 parliamentary elections. We discuss the implications of our findings for future studies of how outsiders can encourage moderate electoral outcomes in democratizing states.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Corstange & Nikolay Marinov, 2012. "Taking Sides in Other People’s Elections: The Polarizing Effect of Foreign Intervention," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(3), pages 655-670, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:56:y:2012:i:3:p:655-670
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00583.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Dov H. Levin, 2019. "Partisan electoral interventions by the great powers: Introducing the PEIG Dataset," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 36(1), pages 88-106, January.
    2. Morrison, Kelly & Savun, Burcu & Donno, Daniela & Davutoglu, Perisa, 2023. "Competing Verdicts: Multiple Election Monitors and Post-Election Contention," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt3kc4f57j, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
    3. Elizabeth Nugent & Tarek Masoud & Amaney A. Jamal, 2018. "Arab Responses to Western Hegemony," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(2), pages 254-288, February.
    4. Efe Tokdemir, 2021. "Feels like home: Effect of transnational identities on attitudes towards foreign countries," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(5), pages 1034-1048, September.
    5. Craig Palsson, 2022. "The medium‐run effects of a foreign election intervention: Haiti's presidential elections, 2010–2015," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 40(2), pages 369-390, April.
    6. Ryan Brutger & Stephen Chaudoin & Max Kagan, 2023. "Trade Wars and Election Interference," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 1-25, January.
    7. Dov H. Levin, 2019. "A Vote for Freedom? The Effects of Partisan Electoral Interventions on Regime Type," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(4), pages 839-868, April.
    8. Sara Norrevik, 2021. "Foreign economic policy in the European Parliament and economic interdependence with foreign powers," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(4), pages 700-720, December.

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