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The Impact of Income on the Taste for Revolt

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  • Robert MacCulloch

Abstract

The question of how the level of development affects revolutionary support in society is of fundamental importance. One approach to provide an answer has been to study the relationship between actual civil conflict and income at the national level. This article takes a different approach. It uses microdata sets based on surveys of revolutionary support across one‐quarter of a million people and identifies how the responses vary with their incomes. We find that a rise in GDP of $US 1,600 per capita in 2001 values decreases the chances of supporting revolt by 2.4 percentage points which represents a 41% drop in the proportion of people wanting a revolution. For a person who jumps from the bottom to top income quartile within their country, the probability declines by a similar amount. The results are robust to controlling for country and year effects, country‐specific time trends and take account of the potential endogeneity of GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert MacCulloch, 2004. "The Impact of Income on the Taste for Revolt," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(4), pages 830-848, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:48:y:2004:i:4:p:830-848
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00104.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Ursula Daxecker & Brandon C. Prins, 2017. "Enforcing order: Territorial reach and maritime piracy," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(4), pages 359-379, July.
    2. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Hassan F. Gholipour, 2024. "Does satisfaction with amenities and environment influence the taste for revolt in the middle east?," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 523-565, December.
    3. Manuel Oechslin, 2006. "Foreign Aid, Political Instability, and Economic Growth," IEW - Working Papers 310, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    4. Hassan F. Gholipour & Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, 2023. "Satisfaction with Amenities and Taste for Revolt in the Middle East," CESifo Working Paper Series 10503, CESifo.
    5. Kiendrebeogo,Youssouf & Ianchovichina,Elena & Kiendrebeogo,Youssouf & Ianchovichina,Elena, 2016. "Who supports violent extremism in developing countries ? analysis of attitudes based on value surveys," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7691, The World Bank.
    6. Dario Maimone Ansaldo Patti & Alba Marino & Pietro Navarra, 2021. "Freedom, diversity and the taste for revolt," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 224-242, May.
    7. Hatab, Assem Abu & Hess, Sebastian, 2021. ""Feed the Mouth, the Eye Ashamed": Have Food Prices Triggered Social Unrest in Egypt?," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315082, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Bukhari, Naseem & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "An empirical investigation of causal linkages between domestic terrorism and macroeconomic variables: a case for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 69768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. David E. Cunningham & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Idean Salehyan, 2009. "It Takes Two," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(4), pages 570-597, August.
    10. Matthew R DiGiuseppe & Colin M Barry & Richard W Frank, 2012. "Good for the money," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 49(3), pages 391-405, May.
    11. Carl Henrik Knutsen, 2014. "Income Growth and Revolutions," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 95(4), pages 920-937, December.
    12. Andrey Korotayev & Ilya Vaskin & Stanislav Bilyuga & Alina Khokhlova & Anastasia Baltach & Eugeny Ivanov & Kira Meshcherina, 2017. "Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis," HSE Working papers WP BRP 46/PS/2017, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    13. Vadim Ustyuzhanin, 2024. "Wealth and Rebellion: A Dualistic Perspective on Income Level and Revolutions," HSE Working papers WP BRP 92/PS/2024, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    14. Huo, Jingjing, 2015. "How Nations Innovate: The Political Economy of Technological Innovation in Affluent Capitalist Economies," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198735847.

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