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Öffentliche Ausschreibungen und Konjunktur. Eine Analyse mit unkonventionellen Daten für die österreichische Bauwirtschaft

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  • Michael Klien
  • Werner Hölzl

Abstract

Die österreichische Bauwirtschaft befand sich 2018 in einer Hochkonjunkturphase. Die ausgezeichnete Konjunkturlage schlug sich in einer überdurchschnittlichen Kapazitätsauslastung nieder, die sich auch zunehmend in einem Anstieg der Baupreise spiegelte. Vor diesem Hintergrund ist der Einfluss der Baukonjunktur auf Zahl und Preise von Angeboten bei öffentlichen Ausschreibungen von erheblichem Interesse. Für die Untersuchung wurden mit Web Scraping und Text Parsing verarbeitete Ausschreibungsdaten zu einem reichhaltigen Mikrodatensatz zu öffentlichen Bauvergaben in den Jahren 2006 bis 2018 in Österreich zusammengestellt, der eine zusätzliche zeitnah verfügbare Datenquelle für die Analyse ökonomischer Zusammenhänge bietet. Wie die Ergebnisse zeigen, geht in Phasen der Hochkonjunktur eine Abnahme der durchschnittlichen Zahl der Angebote pro Ausschreibung mit höheren Vergabepreisen einher.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Klien & Werner Hölzl, 2019. "Öffentliche Ausschreibungen und Konjunktur. Eine Analyse mit unkonventionellen Daten für die österreichische Bauwirtschaft," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 92(8), pages 609-618, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2019:i:8:p:609-618
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mireia Jofre-Bonet & Martin Pesendorfer, 2003. "Estimation of a Dynamic Auction Game," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1443-1489, September.
    2. Werner Hölzl & Gerhard Schwarz, 2014. "Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(12), pages 835-850, December.
    3. Klaus Friesenbichler & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Philipp Wegmüller, 2018. "Ein neues Modell für die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(9), pages 651-661, September.
    4. Gugler, Klaus & Weichselbaumer, Michael & Zulehner, Christine, 2015. "Competition in the economic crisis: Analysis of procurement auctions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 35-57.
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