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Ostöffnung und Osterweiterung der EU. Ökonomische Auswirkungen auf Österreich

Author

Listed:
  • Fritz Breuss
  • Fritz Schebeck

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Mit der Simulation des WIFO-Makromodells können die Auswirkungen handelspolitischer Veränderungen – der Ostöffnung einerseits und einer Osterweiterung der EU andererseits – für die österreichische Wirtschaft geschätzt werden: Die Ostöffnung hat zwar den Wettbewerbsdruck in einigen Sektoren erheblich verschärft, brachte aber der österreichischen Wirtschaft insgesamt aufgrund zusätzlicher Exportmöglichkeiten Vorteile. Die vorgesehene Osterweiterung der EU würde Handels- und Wachstumsimpulse setzten, aber wegen des niedrigen Entwicklungsniveaus der Oststaaten hohe Kosten im Rahmen der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik und der Strukturpolitik verursachen. Im Falle eines EU-Beitritts der vier Nachbarstaaten Slowakei, Slowenien, Tschechien und Ungarn würde in Österreich der Wachstumsvorteil den Kostennachteil langfristig überwiegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Fritz Breuss & Fritz Schebeck, 1996. "Ostöffnung und Osterweiterung der EU. Ökonomische Auswirkungen auf Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 69(2), pages 139-151, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:1996:i:2:p:139-151
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fritz Breuss & Jean Tesche, 1994. "A general equilibrium evaluation of trade and industrial policy changes in Austria and Hungary," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 130(3), pages 534-552, September.
    2. De Fontenay, P. & Gomel, G. & Hochreiter, E., 1995. "Western Europe in Transition. The Impact of the Opening Up of eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union," Papers 250-1, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
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