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Der demografische Wandel im Wandel

Author

Listed:
  • Schultis Sebastian
  • Seuffert Stefan
  • Stramka Sebastian

Abstract

The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.

Suggested Citation

  • Schultis Sebastian & Seuffert Stefan & Stramka Sebastian, 2024. "Der demografische Wandel im Wandel," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 104(4), pages 269-274, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:wirtsc:v:104:y:2024:i:4:p:269-274:n:15
    DOI: 10.2478/wd-2024-0072
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts: A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 5, pages 55-110, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. repec:bla:scandj:v:94:y:1992:i:2:p:303-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1994. "Generational Accounting: A Meaningful Way to Evaluate Fiscal Policy," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 73-94, Winter.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

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